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CoreWeaveCRWV

NASDAQ

ソフトウェア

$89.36+5.68%

AI マルチホライズン分析

短期信頼度 30%
中立

Market holiday; no intraday data. Oversold RSI-14 is offset by bearish MACD and thin volume confirmation.

中期信頼度 65%
弱気

Price below 20- and 200-day SMAs; MACD bearish; insider selling outweighs buying; ATR elevated.

長期信頼度 75%
弱気

FCF deteriorated to -10.45 B; liabilities grew faster than assets; dilution rising; revenue growth insufficient to offset capex.

AI 総合判断信頼度 65%
弱気

High-growth but capital-intensive profile with sharply negative FCF, elevated leverage, and net insider selling dominate; technicals are mixed but tilted bearish.

詳細な AI ファンダメンタル分析

この分析は元々 英語 で記述されました。日本語 のキャッシュ版はまだありません — 上のライブ分析を起動して生成してください。

Business Snapshot

  • CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (NASDAQ: CRWV) is a US-listed common stock, listed on March 28, 2025.
  • The payload provides no sector classification or detailed business description. Financially, the company shows a capital-intensive operating profile: rapidly expanding assets, substantial financing activity, very large capital expenditures, and negative free cash flow.
  • Current price: $89.36. The session range is unusually wide at $60.55–$138.25, indicating substantial volatility.
  • The stock has gained 20.03% across the 200 daily bars in the supplied dataset, but the current price remains below its 20-day and 200-day moving averages.

Financial Trends

  • Revenue trajectory: Revenue increased from $1.365 billion in 2025-09-30 to $5.131 billion in 2025-12-31, then declined to $2.078 billion in 2026-03-31, before rising to $2.575 billion in 2026-06-30. The latest quarter increased $497 million, or 23.9%, quarter over quarter, while remaining $1.206 billion, or 23.5%, above the 2025-09-30 level. The trajectory is volatile rather than consistently accelerating.
  • Operating profitability: Operating income moved from +$51.85 million in 2025-09-30 to -$46 million in 2025-12-31, -$144 million in 2026-03-31, and -$49 million in 2026-06-30. The latest quarter improved by $95 million versus Q1 2026, and operating margin improved from -6.93% to -1.90%, but it remained negative and below the earlier +3.80% margin.
  • Net income and margins: Net losses were $110.1 million, $1.167 billion, $740 million, and $626 million across the four periods from oldest to latest. The latest net loss narrowed by $114 million, or 15.4%, quarter over quarter, and net margin improved from -35.61% to -24.31%. However, net margin remains materially worse than the -8.07% level in 2025-09-30.
  • Share count and EPS: Diluted weighted-average shares increased from 497.9 million in 2025-09-30 to 551 million in 2026-06-30, a rise of approximately 53.1 million, or 10.7%. Diluted EPS improved from -$1.40 to -$1.14 sequentially but remains negative.
  • Free cash flow: FCF was negative in every supplied period: -$4.750 billion, -$7.251 billion, -$4.711 billion, and -$10.454 billion from oldest to latest. Latest FCF deteriorated by $5.743 billion, or 122%, quarter over quarter, and by $5.704 billion, or 120%, versus 2025-09-30. This is the clearest negative inflection in the financial data.
  • Cash flow and capital expenditure: Operating cash flow rose from $1.499 billion in 2025-09-30 to $3.663 billion in the latest period, an increase of $2.164 billion, or 144%. However, capital expenditures expanded from $6.249 billion to $14.117 billion, up $7.868 billion, or 126%, causing FCF to worsen substantially. Investing cash outflows also increased from $6.345 billion to $14.874 billion.
  • Assets and liabilities: Total assets increased from $32.910 billion to $77.070 billion, up $44.160 billion, or 134% across the four periods. Total liabilities increased from $29.032 billion to $72.046 billion, up $43.014 billion, or 148%. Liabilities therefore grew faster than assets.
  • Liquidity and working capital: Cash increased from $1.894 billion to $5.524 billion, but current liabilities rose from $9.715 billion to $20.917 billion, while current assets reached $9.520 billion. The current ratio was 0.49 initially and 0.46 most recently, after reaching 0.31 in 2026-03-31. Working capital deteriorated from -$4.984 billion to -$11.397 billion, a worsening of $6.413 billion.
  • Equity and retained earnings: Shareholders’ equity increased from $3.878 billion to $5.024 billion, but retained earnings became more negative, moving from -$2.192 billion to -$4.009 billion. This reflects continuing accumulated losses despite the increase in reported equity.
  • Debt: Reported long-term debt rose from $10.323 billion in 2025-09-30 to $14.665 billion at year-end and $17.312 billion in 2026-03-31. The latest table reports long-term debt as unavailable, so the latest debt trajectory cannot be fully determined. Debt/equity increased from 2.66 to 4.40 before improving to 3.64 in 2026-03-31; the latest ratio is unavailable.

Financial Health

  • The latest period shows improving revenue and operating performance sequentially, but not yet a clean profitability inflection. Revenue rose 23.9% quarter over quarter, operating losses narrowed, and operating margin improved to -1.90%.
  • The principal financial risk is funding the expansion. Latest FCF was -$10.454 billion, versus $3.663 billion of operating cash flow, because capital expenditures reached $14.117 billion.
  • Liquidity remains strained on the supplied balance sheet. The latest current ratio is 0.46, current liabilities exceed current assets by $11.397 billion, and liabilities represent approximately 93.5% of total assets.
  • Cash increased by $3.280 billion from 2025-09-30 to 2026-06-30, but the cash balance is small relative to the latest quarterly investing outflow and capital-expenditure figures. Financing inflows of $13.985 billion in the latest period materially supported cash generation.
  • The balance sheet is expanding rapidly, but leverage and accumulated losses are also significant. The missing latest long-term-debt figure prevents a complete assessment of current leverage.
  • Overall, the latest data supports a high-growth, high-capital-intensity profile with improving operating losses but worsening free-cash-flow requirements.

Insider Activity

  • Insider sentiment for June 9 through September 7, 2026 is Neutral (-10), but the transaction value is heavily skewed toward selling: $90.204 million of sales across 55 transactions versus only $85,800 of purchases in one transaction.
  • Net insider activity was -$90.119 million.
  • Several large sales occurred around $81–$90 per share, including substantial transactions by Michael N. Intrator and Kristen J. McVeety. The dataset also contains paired buy/sell or non-monetary entries, so not every reported line necessarily represents an outright open-market purchase or sale.
  • Even with that caveat, the aggregate dollar imbalance is a negative signal: disclosed selling substantially exceeded disclosed buying during the period.
  • Insider data should be treated as a sentiment and supply consideration, not as a standalone timing signal; the filings do not establish the sellers’ reasons.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Context

  • Ultra-short horizon — minutes: No intraday candle or indicator data was provided, and the market status is holiday. A minute-by-minute setup therefore cannot be confirmed. The very wide supplied session range of $60.55–$138.25 indicates that liquidity and price discovery may be highly unstable when trading is active.
  • Short horizon — hours to days: Daily RSI-14 is 28.33, placing it in oversold territory, while RSI-21 is 52.92, showing a materially less weak reading over the longer lookback. This divergence suggests a recent short-term selloff within a broader, less clearly oversold trend.
  • Price at $89.36 is above the 12-day EMA of $86.65, the 26-day EMA of $87.58, and the 50-day SMA of $85.62, but below the 20-day SMA of $91.02 and 200-day SMA of $91.47.
  • MACD is -0.9311 versus a signal line of -0.2231, a bearish configuration. The price’s position above several shorter moving averages therefore has not yet been confirmed by momentum.
  • The Bollinger Band range is $74.24–$107.79, with a middle band at $91.02. At $89.36, price is below the middle band but well above the lower band.
  • ATR is $5.03, implying a large expected daily trading range relative to the share price. The 20-day average volume is 27.24 million, versus current supplied volume of 20.80 million, or approximately 76% of average.
  • Longer horizon — weeks to months: The 200-bar price performance is positive at +20.03%, but price remains below both the 20-day and 200-day averages, and MACD remains negative. The longer-term technical picture is therefore mixed: positive cumulative performance, but current trend confirmation is lacking.

Bull / Bear Cases

  • Short-term bull case:
    • RSI-14 at 28.33 supports the possibility of an oversold rebound.
    • Price is above the 12-day EMA, 26-day EMA, and 50-day SMA, with nearby support clustered around $85.62–$87.58.
    • Revenue grew 23.9% sequentially, while operating losses narrowed by $95 million, providing a fundamental backdrop for a recovery if buyers reclaim the nearby moving-average resistance.
  • Short-term bear case:
    • MACD remains bearish, with -0.9311 below -0.2231.
    • Price is below the $91.02 20-day SMA and $91.47 200-day SMA, creating an overhead resistance zone.
    • ATR of $5.03 and the supplied session range show elevated volatility; a break below the mid-$80s could expose the lower Bollinger area near $74.24.
    • Recent insider activity is strongly sell-dominated by dollar value.
  • Long-term bull case:
    • Revenue is materially higher than four periods ago, up $1.206 billion, or 88.4%, from 2025-09-30.
    • Operating cash flow increased 144% over the same period, and the latest operating loss narrowed sharply from the prior quarter.
    • If revenue growth eventually outpaces infrastructure spending, the current expansion could produce operating leverage and improve profitability.
  • Long-term bear case:
    • FCF deteriorated to -$10.454 billion, more than twice as negative as the 2025-09-30 figure.
    • Capital expenditures increased 126% across the four periods, while total liabilities grew 148%, faster than total assets.
    • The latest current ratio of 0.46, negative working capital of $11.397 billion, negative retained earnings of $4.009 billion, and ongoing net losses point to substantial financing and execution risk.
    • Diluted shares increased 10.7% over the four periods, creating potential dilution pressure for existing shareholders.
    • The latest long-term-debt figure is missing, limiting visibility into the current leverage burden.

Key Levels & Triggers

  • Current reference price: $89.36.
  • Near-term support: The 26-day EMA at $87.58, 12-day EMA at $86.65, and 50-day SMA at $85.62 form a nearby technical support band.
  • Near-term resistance: The 20-day SMA at $91.02 and 200-day SMA at $91.47 form the first important overhead zone. A sustained move above this area would improve short-term trend confirmation.
  • Volatility reference: ATR is $5.03; moves of several dollars per day should be considered normal for this dataset.
  • Downside trigger: A decisive break below the $85.62–$87.58 support band would weaken the rebound setup and could shift focus toward the lower Bollinger Band at $74.24.
  • Upside trigger: Reclaiming and holding $91.02–$91.47, ideally with stronger-than-average volume, would improve the technical structure. Current volume is below the 20-day average, so confirmation is not yet present.
  • Fundamental triggers to monitor: sequential revenue growth, operating-margin improvement toward positive territory, reduction in quarterly capital expenditure, FCF improvement from -$10.454 billion, and updated debt data.
  • Risk trigger: Continued reliance on large financing inflows alongside expanding capital expenditures and negative FCF would reinforce the long-term balance-sheet risk.

財務データ

SEC EDGAR から · 報告期間 2026-06-30 · ソースフォーム 10-Q

損益計算書 · 直近 4 期

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
2025-09-30
10-Q
営業収益$2.58B$2.08B$5.13B$1.36B
営業利益-$49.00M-$144.00M-$46.00M$51.85M
純利益-$626.00M-$740.00M-$1.17B-$110.12M
1株当たり利益(希薄化)$-1.14$-1.40$-2.81$-0.22
営業利益率-1.90%-6.93%-0.90%3.80%
純利益率-24.31%-35.61%-22.74%-8.07%

貸借対照表 · 直近 4 期

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-Q
2025-09-30
10-Q
総資産$77.07B$55.57B$49.30B$32.91B
総負債$72.05B$50.81B$45.97B$29.03B
株主資本$5.02B$4.76B$3.33B$3.88B
現金及び現金同等物$5.52B$2.24B$3.13B$1.89B
長期負債$17.31B$14.66B$10.32B
流動比率0.460.310.460.49
負債比率(負債/資本)3.644.402.66

キャッシュフロー計算書 · 直近 4 期

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
2025-09-30
10-Q
営業活動によるキャッシュフロー$3.66B$2.98B$3.06B$1.50B
投資活動によるキャッシュフロー-$14.87B-$7.71B-$10.27B-$6.35B
財務活動によるキャッシュフロー$13.98B$3.91B$9.31B$5.78B
資本的支出$14.12B$7.70B$10.31B$6.25B
フリーキャッシュフロー-$10.45B-$4.71B-$7.25B-$4.75B

損益計算書

営業収益
$4.65B
粗利益
営業利益
-$193.00M
純利益
-$1.37B
1株当たり利益(基本)
$-2.53
1株当たり利益(希薄化)
$-2.53

貸借対照表

総資産
$77.07B
総負債
$72.05B
株主資本
$5.02B
現金及び現金同等物
$5.52B
長期負債
$17.31B
発行済株式

キャッシュフロー計算書

営業活動によるキャッシュフロー
$3.66B
投資活動によるキャッシュフロー
-$14.87B
財務活動によるキャッシュフロー
$13.98B
資本的支出
$14.12B
フリーキャッシュフロー
-$10.45B

主要比率

粗利益率
営業利益率
-4.15%
純利益率
-29.36%
流動比率
0.46
負債比率(負債/資本)
3.45
フリーキャッシュフロー
-$10.45B

インサイダー取引

36 件のインサイダー申告(2026-08-08 から 2026-09-07 まで)— SEC Forms 4/5 から直接取得

購入
$85.8K · 11
売却
$83.93M · 57
純額
-$83.84M
解析済み申告
36
取引日インサイダーアクション株数価格金額
2026-09-01McVeety Kristen JBuy156,000$0.55$85.8K
2026-09-01McVeety Kristen JSell55,506$81.16$4.51M
2026-09-01McVeety Kristen JSell94,307$81.85$7.72M
2026-09-01McVeety Kristen JSell6,187$82.50$510.4K
2026-09-01McVeety Kristen JSell156,000$0.00$0.00
2026-09-01Intrator Michael NSell63,315$81.20$5.14M
2026-09-01Intrator Michael NSell130,609$81.85$10.69M
2026-09-01Intrator Michael NSell6,076$82.54$501.5K

主要指標

$61.59B時価総額
$187.0052週の最高
$39.5052週の最低
29,301,84030日平均取引量

2,189 従業員数534.86M 発行済株式数上場日 2025-03-28

次回の決算 ~2026年5月5日

CoreWeave について

CoreWeaveは、Nvidia GPUをはじめとするAI開発に不可欠なハードウェアを、高い効率で提供する最新のクラウドインフラストラクチャ企業です。最も要求の厳しいAIトレーニングおよび推論ワークロードに対応します。同社のクラウドプラットフォームは、基盤となる大規模言語モデルの開発と利用、および次世代AIアプリケーションの提供をサポートし、世界的に高まるAIへの需要に応えます。

最近の SimianX AI 分析

  • intelligence信頼度 65%

    Mildly bearish macro backdrop (rising yields, Fed-hike fears, oil spike) weighs on high-duration AI-infra names; no offsetting CRWV-specific catalyst.

  • indicator中立

    Oversold RSI-14 vs bearish MACD and EMA trend flag leave daily direction mixed with no clear follow-through.

  • intelligence信頼度 75%

    Moderately bearish macro-driven pressure for CRWV into the next open and likely over the next several sessions as rising Treasury yields and hawkish-rate risks weigh on high-beta growth names.

  • indicator中立

    1D setup mixed—oversold RSI but EMA bear trend and volume below average.

  • intelligence信頼度 55%

    CRWV faces mild bearish pressure from rising rate-hike odds and higher yields, with no company-specific news to offset macro-driven multiple compression.

  • indicator弱気

    1D close below EMA-50, SMA-20 and SMA-200 while EMA-12<EMA-26 keeps the daily structure bearish, though RSI-14 is oversold.

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CRWV のライブ AI ビューを見る準備はできましたか?

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