Netflix logo

NetflixNFLX

NASDAQ

Video Tape Rental

$62.24+0.08%

AI Multi-Horizon Analysis

Short-term50% confidence
Neutral

Extremely short-term action near session lows with oversold RSI 14 at 25.86; potential for minor rebound but no clear catalyst in the supplied data.

Mid-term60% confidence
Bearish

Daily trend is clearly bearish with price below all major moving averages, negative MACD, and -29.55% move across 200 bars. Q3 revenue grew 2.5% vs Q2 and operating margin expanded to 34.63%, but liquidity contraction (current ratio 1.07) and net insider selling add caution for the hours-to-days horizon.

Long-term45% confidence
Neutral

Longer-term fundamentals show consistent quarterly revenue growth (Q3 +5.1% vs Q1), steadily expanding operating margins (34.63% in Q3 vs 29.49% four periods ago), and positive FCF every period, yet cash declined sharply from $12.26B in Q1 to $8.19B in Q3 and current ratio fell to 1.07. Neutral insider sentiment with net selling. Technical structure remains weak with price far below SMA-200 at 81.47.

Overall AI View55% confidence
Bearish

NFLX shows a sharp -29.55% daily decline with price well below all key EMAs and SMAs. Fundamentals display steady quarterly revenue and operating-margin expansion plus FCF recovery in Q3 vs Q2, but cash and liquidity metrics have deteriorated. Insider activity is neutral with net selling. Technicals are oversold on RSI yet trend remains bearish.

Detailed AI Fundamental Analysis

Business Snapshot

  • Netflix, Inc. is a US-listed common stock on NASDAQ (ticker NFLX, USD). The supplied data identifies the company but does not include a detailed business description or sector classification.
  • For the next regular-session close, fundamentals are a backdrop rather than a direct catalyst: no earnings, guidance, or funding event inside the stated window is provided. The main near-term evidence is the price action and technical data.

Financial Trends

  • Revenue: The figures are presented as four periods, but the 2025-12-31 entry is an annual figure while the other entries are quarterly. On a like-for-like quarterly basis, revenue rose from $12.25B in Q1 2026 to $12.56B in Q2 and $12.87B in Q3. Q3 increased $314.2M, or about 2.5%, from Q2; Q3 was $624.4M, or about 5.1%, above Q1. A direct comparison with the $45.18B annual 2025 figure is not like-for-like.
  • Margins and income: Operating margin expanded each reported quarter: 29.49% in 2025-12-31, 32.30% in Q1, 33.38% in Q2, and 34.63% in Q3. Q3 gained 1.25 percentage points from Q2 and 5.14 points from the 2025-12-31 figure. Operating income rose from $3.96B in Q1 to $4.19B in Q2 and $4.46B in Q3. Net income was less steady: $5.28B in Q1, $3.40B in Q2, and $3.66B in Q3; Q3 improved $262.5M from Q2 but remained below Q1. The provided 2025-12-31 net-income figure is annual, so it is not directly comparable to the quarterly amounts.
  • Free cash flow (FCF): FCF was $9.46B in 2025-12-31, $5.09B in Q1, $1.53B in Q2, and $2.88B in Q3. Among the quarterly periods, Q3 rebounded $1.36B, or about 89%, from Q2, but was still $2.21B, or about 43%, below Q1. The annual 2025 figure is not a comparable quarterly baseline.
  • Balance sheet: Cash declined from $12.26B in Q1 to $9.10B in Q2 and $8.19B in Q3; Q3 was down $905.0M from Q2 and $4.07B from Q1. Long-term debt rose $832.1M from Q2 to $12.66B in Q3, though it remained below the $13.46B reported at 2025-12-31. The current ratio fell from 1.41 in Q1 to 1.14 in Q2 and 1.07 in Q3, while working capital contracted from $4.94B to $1.72B to $0.92B. Debt/equity improved from 0.51 at 2025-12-31 to 0.43 in Q1, rose to 0.43 in Q3 after 0.39 in Q2, and remains below the year-end figure.

Financial Health

  • The latest reported quarter combines improving operating performance with tighter short-term liquidity: Q3 revenue and operating margin increased versus Q2, and FCF recovered, but cash and working capital declined while the current ratio moved closer to 1.
  • Total assets were $58.68B in Q3 versus $58.45B in Q2, while liabilities rose from $28.30B to $29.40B and shareholders’ equity declined from $30.15B to $29.29B. Retained earnings increased to $54.63B from $50.97B in Q2, but that did not prevent the reported reduction in total equity.
  • Overall, the supplied figures show strong and improving operating margins, but weaker liquidity measures and a Q3 cash balance lower than in the prior two quarters. These are longer-term context, not a stated near-term catalyst.

Insider Activity

  • Sentiment for 2026-08-04 to 2026-11-02 is classified as neutral (-6), with $250,045 in buys and $1,151,193 in sells, for net sales of about $901,148.
  • The 2026-10-27 filing data includes reported sales at prices around $63.55–$65.14 as well as buys reported at $12.75–$14.69. The transactions also include multiple $0 entries, including shares sold at $0; those entries and the unusually different reported price levels make the transaction detail difficult to interpret as straightforward open-market activity from this feed alone.
  • Taken together, the supplied sentiment is neutral with net selling, but the transaction data is not a clear standalone directional signal.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Context

  • Only daily (1D) technical data is supplied; there is no intraday timeframe series here. The digest window uses the short horizon (hours to two days).
  • The daily close-to-current series shows a 29.55% decline across the supplied 200 bars. Current price, $62.235, is below the EMA 12 ($64.64), EMA 26 ($67.41), EMA 50 ($70.29), SMA 20 ($67.31), SMA 50 ($72.33), and SMA 200 ($81.47), indicating broad downside pressure in the provided daily context.
  • RSI 14 at 25.86 is oversold by common technical conventions, while RSI 21 is 39.63. MACD (-2.76) is below its signal (-2.30), another bearish indication; price is also below the Bollinger middle band ($67.31) and approaching the lower band ($59.86).
  • The supplied current price is close to the session low ($61.3922) and well below the session high ($108.945). Volume data are provided, but current volume (5.99M) is far below the 20-period average (43.25M); because the feed does not clarify whether both are comparable for the active session, volume confirmation is uncertain.
  • The broader market snapshot is weak: SPY was down 1.77% and QQQ down 3.47% for the day, with both showing positive extended-hours moves. The supplied NFLX data also shows an extended-hours quote of $62.23, only about 0.25% above the prior regular close of $62.08, but the current regular-session quote of $62.235 is materially lower than that close. The feed timestamps and price fields do not fully reconcile, so treat this comparison cautiously.

Bull / Bear Cases

  • Short-term (hours to two days): The bull case is a technical bounce after RSI 14 reached 25.86, with the lower Bollinger band near $59.86 providing a nearby reference area. The bear case is stronger trend evidence: price sits below all supplied moving averages, MACD remains below its signal, and the current quote is near the reported session low. For the next regular-session close, the setup is bearish-leaning but vulnerable to an oversold rebound; fundamentals carry low weight inside this window.
  • Long-term (weeks to months): The bull case is the sustained quarterly expansion in revenue and operating margin, plus positive FCF in every listed period. The bear case is the decline in cash from Q1 to Q3, a current ratio down to 1.07, and FCF still substantially below Q1 despite its Q3 rebound. The supplied data lacks valuation metrics, guidance, and a longer comparable quarterly history, so it does not support a valuation-based conclusion.

Key Levels & Triggers

  • Near-term support references: $61.3922 (reported session low) and approximately $59.86 (daily lower Bollinger band). A move below these areas would weaken the oversold-bounce case; the feed does not establish that either level will hold.
  • Near-term resistance references: EMA 12 at $64.64, followed by the EMA 26 and SMA 20 near $67.31–$67.41. A sustained recovery above these levels would improve the short-term technical picture, though the supplied data does not confirm a reversal.
  • Broader trend reference: EMA 50 at $70.29 and SMA 200 at $81.47 are substantially above the current price, underscoring the distance required for a trend improvement.
  • Trading-room read for the next regular-session close: bearish-leaning, but not a high-conviction directional call because the price fields are inconsistent and RSI indicates an oversold condition.

Financials

From SEC EDGAR · Period 2026-09-30 · Source form 10-Q

Income Statement · last 4 periods

 
2026-09-30
10-Q
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
Revenue$12.87B$12.56B$12.25B$45.18B
Operating Income$4.46B$4.19B$3.96B$13.33B
Net Income$3.66B$3.40B$5.28B$10.98B
EPS (Diluted)$0.87$0.80$1.23$2.53
Operating Margin34.63%33.38%32.30%29.49%
Net Margin28.46%27.08%43.13%24.30%

Balance Sheet · last 4 periods

 
2026-09-30
10-Q
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-Q
Total Assets$58.68B$58.45B$61.02B$55.60B
Total Liabilities$29.40B$28.30B$29.89B$28.98B
Shareholders' Equity$29.29B$30.15B$31.13B$26.62B
Cash & Equivalents$8.19B$9.10B$12.26B$9.03B
Long-term Debt$12.66B$11.83B$13.36B$13.46B
Current Ratio1.071.141.411.19
Debt / Equity0.430.390.430.51

Cash Flow · last 4 periods

 
2026-09-30
10-Q
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
Cash from Operations$3.16B$1.74B$5.29B$10.15B
Cash from Investing-$331.31M-$218.64M-$781.87M$1.04B
Cash from Financing-$3.75B-$4.67B-$1.23B-$10.35B
Capital Expenditures$278.77M$218.64M$196.13M$688.22M
Free Cash Flow$2.88B$1.53B$5.09B$9.46B

Income Statement

Revenue
$37.68B
Gross Profit
$362.01M
Operating Income
$12.61B
Net Income
$12.35B
EPS (Basic)
$2.95
EPS (Diluted)
$2.90

Balance Sheet

Total Assets
$58.68B
Total Liabilities
$29.40B
Shareholders' Equity
$29.29B
Cash & Equivalents
$6.66B
Long-term Debt
$12.66B
Shares Outstanding
4.11B

Cash Flow

Cash from Operations
$10.20B
Cash from Investing
-$1.33B
Cash from Financing
-$9.66B
Capital Expenditures
$693.54M
Free Cash Flow
$9.50B

Key Ratios

Gross Margin
0.96%
Operating Margin
33.46%
Net Margin
32.77%
Current Ratio
1.07
Debt / Equity
0.43
Free Cash Flow
$9.50B

Insider Activity

2 insider filings (2026-10-03 to 2026-11-02) — sourced directly from SEC Forms 4/5

Buys
$250.0K · 4
Sells
$1.15M · 8
Net
-$901.1K
Filings Parsed
2
Trade DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-28Peters Gregory KSell1,519$0.00$0.00
2026-10-26SMITH BRADFORD LBuy4,900$12.75$62.5K
2026-10-26SMITH BRADFORD LBuy4,440$14.08$62.5K
2026-10-26SMITH BRADFORD LBuy4,380$14.27$62.5K
2026-10-26SMITH BRADFORD LBuy4,260$14.69$62.6K
2026-10-26SMITH BRADFORD LSell11,980$63.55$761.3K
2026-10-26SMITH BRADFORD LSell1,800$64.61$116.3K
2026-10-26SMITH BRADFORD LSell4,200$65.14$273.6K

Key Stats

$258.50BMarket cap
$134.1252-week high
$75.0152-week low
41,598,509Avg volume (30d)

16,000 employees4.16B shares outstandinglisted 2002-05-23

Next earnings ~Aug 3, 2026

About Netflix

Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.

Recent SimianX AI Analyses

  • intelligence—confidence 45%

    Mildly bearish near-term read on NFLX driven by stalled ad-viewing growth as the dominant concern; bullish valuation opinion pieces offer only modest counterweight while weak broad-market action adds near-term pressure.

  • indicatorBearish

    Daily bearish structure with price below all major EMAs and SMAs, inside bar after sharp decline, and oversold RSI creating short-term bounce risk but no reversal signal yet.

  • intelligence—confidence 55%

    Mildly bearish into next close driven by a direct downgrade on weak U.S. audience engagement that outweighs valuation-based opinion pieces; risk-off tech backdrop adds near-term pressure although a rebound is possible.

  • indicatorBearish

    NFLX plunged 11 points on heavy volume to close at 62.08, well below all major EMAs and inside the lower Bollinger Band; daily bear trend intact despite oversold RSI.

  • intelligence—confidence 45%

    Mildly bearish into next close on engagement concerns from viewing-time commentary and risk-off market backdrop; last close 62.08 after 5.73% 5-day drop with no fresh quantified data or company guidance.

  • indicatorBearish

    NFLX broke sharply lower on elevated volume and sits deep below all key EMAs with RSI 14 oversold at 24.96; near-term bounce risk exists but the 1D structure remains bearish.

Latest News

Related research

More in Market history

Ready to see the live AI view on NFLX?

Launch a real-time multi-agent room — Claude, GPT, Gemini, DeepSeek, Grok, and Qwen analyzing NFLX side-by-side with live signals.