AI Multi-Horizon Analysis
Extremely short-term action near session lows with oversold RSI 14 at 25.86; potential for minor rebound but no clear catalyst in the supplied data.
Daily trend is clearly bearish with price below all major moving averages, negative MACD, and -29.55% move across 200 bars. Q3 revenue grew 2.5% vs Q2 and operating margin expanded to 34.63%, but liquidity contraction (current ratio 1.07) and net insider selling add caution for the hours-to-days horizon.
Longer-term fundamentals show consistent quarterly revenue growth (Q3 +5.1% vs Q1), steadily expanding operating margins (34.63% in Q3 vs 29.49% four periods ago), and positive FCF every period, yet cash declined sharply from $12.26B in Q1 to $8.19B in Q3 and current ratio fell to 1.07. Neutral insider sentiment with net selling. Technical structure remains weak with price far below SMA-200 at 81.47.
NFLX shows a sharp -29.55% daily decline with price well below all key EMAs and SMAs. Fundamentals display steady quarterly revenue and operating-margin expansion plus FCF recovery in Q3 vs Q2, but cash and liquidity metrics have deteriorated. Insider activity is neutral with net selling. Technicals are oversold on RSI yet trend remains bearish.
Detailed AI Fundamental Analysis
Business Snapshot
- Netflix, Inc. is a US-listed common stock on NASDAQ (ticker NFLX, USD). The supplied data identifies the company but does not include a detailed business description or sector classification.
- For the next regular-session close, fundamentals are a backdrop rather than a direct catalyst: no earnings, guidance, or funding event inside the stated window is provided. The main near-term evidence is the price action and technical data.
Financial Trends
- Revenue: The figures are presented as four periods, but the 2025-12-31 entry is an annual figure while the other entries are quarterly. On a like-for-like quarterly basis, revenue rose from $12.25B in Q1 2026 to $12.56B in Q2 and $12.87B in Q3. Q3 increased $314.2M, or about 2.5%, from Q2; Q3 was $624.4M, or about 5.1%, above Q1. A direct comparison with the $45.18B annual 2025 figure is not like-for-like.
- Margins and income: Operating margin expanded each reported quarter: 29.49% in 2025-12-31, 32.30% in Q1, 33.38% in Q2, and 34.63% in Q3. Q3 gained 1.25 percentage points from Q2 and 5.14 points from the 2025-12-31 figure. Operating income rose from $3.96B in Q1 to $4.19B in Q2 and $4.46B in Q3. Net income was less steady: $5.28B in Q1, $3.40B in Q2, and $3.66B in Q3; Q3 improved $262.5M from Q2 but remained below Q1. The provided 2025-12-31 net-income figure is annual, so it is not directly comparable to the quarterly amounts.
- Free cash flow (FCF): FCF was $9.46B in 2025-12-31, $5.09B in Q1, $1.53B in Q2, and $2.88B in Q3. Among the quarterly periods, Q3 rebounded $1.36B, or about 89%, from Q2, but was still $2.21B, or about 43%, below Q1. The annual 2025 figure is not a comparable quarterly baseline.
- Balance sheet: Cash declined from $12.26B in Q1 to $9.10B in Q2 and $8.19B in Q3; Q3 was down $905.0M from Q2 and $4.07B from Q1. Long-term debt rose $832.1M from Q2 to $12.66B in Q3, though it remained below the $13.46B reported at 2025-12-31. The current ratio fell from 1.41 in Q1 to 1.14 in Q2 and 1.07 in Q3, while working capital contracted from $4.94B to $1.72B to $0.92B. Debt/equity improved from 0.51 at 2025-12-31 to 0.43 in Q1, rose to 0.43 in Q3 after 0.39 in Q2, and remains below the year-end figure.
Financial Health
- The latest reported quarter combines improving operating performance with tighter short-term liquidity: Q3 revenue and operating margin increased versus Q2, and FCF recovered, but cash and working capital declined while the current ratio moved closer to 1.
- Total assets were $58.68B in Q3 versus $58.45B in Q2, while liabilities rose from $28.30B to $29.40B and shareholders’ equity declined from $30.15B to $29.29B. Retained earnings increased to $54.63B from $50.97B in Q2, but that did not prevent the reported reduction in total equity.
- Overall, the supplied figures show strong and improving operating margins, but weaker liquidity measures and a Q3 cash balance lower than in the prior two quarters. These are longer-term context, not a stated near-term catalyst.
Insider Activity
- Sentiment for 2026-08-04 to 2026-11-02 is classified as neutral (-6), with $250,045 in buys and $1,151,193 in sells, for net sales of about $901,148.
- The 2026-10-27 filing data includes reported sales at prices around $63.55–$65.14 as well as buys reported at $12.75–$14.69. The transactions also include multiple $0 entries, including shares sold at $0; those entries and the unusually different reported price levels make the transaction detail difficult to interpret as straightforward open-market activity from this feed alone.
- Taken together, the supplied sentiment is neutral with net selling, but the transaction data is not a clear standalone directional signal.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Context
- Only daily (1D) technical data is supplied; there is no intraday timeframe series here. The digest window uses the short horizon (hours to two days).
- The daily close-to-current series shows a 29.55% decline across the supplied 200 bars. Current price, $62.235, is below the EMA 12 ($64.64), EMA 26 ($67.41), EMA 50 ($70.29), SMA 20 ($67.31), SMA 50 ($72.33), and SMA 200 ($81.47), indicating broad downside pressure in the provided daily context.
- RSI 14 at 25.86 is oversold by common technical conventions, while RSI 21 is 39.63. MACD (-2.76) is below its signal (-2.30), another bearish indication; price is also below the Bollinger middle band ($67.31) and approaching the lower band ($59.86).
- The supplied current price is close to the session low ($61.3922) and well below the session high ($108.945). Volume data are provided, but current volume (5.99M) is far below the 20-period average (43.25M); because the feed does not clarify whether both are comparable for the active session, volume confirmation is uncertain.
- The broader market snapshot is weak: SPY was down 1.77% and QQQ down 3.47% for the day, with both showing positive extended-hours moves. The supplied NFLX data also shows an extended-hours quote of $62.23, only about 0.25% above the prior regular close of $62.08, but the current regular-session quote of $62.235 is materially lower than that close. The feed timestamps and price fields do not fully reconcile, so treat this comparison cautiously.
Bull / Bear Cases
- Short-term (hours to two days): The bull case is a technical bounce after RSI 14 reached 25.86, with the lower Bollinger band near $59.86 providing a nearby reference area. The bear case is stronger trend evidence: price sits below all supplied moving averages, MACD remains below its signal, and the current quote is near the reported session low. For the next regular-session close, the setup is bearish-leaning but vulnerable to an oversold rebound; fundamentals carry low weight inside this window.
- Long-term (weeks to months): The bull case is the sustained quarterly expansion in revenue and operating margin, plus positive FCF in every listed period. The bear case is the decline in cash from Q1 to Q3, a current ratio down to 1.07, and FCF still substantially below Q1 despite its Q3 rebound. The supplied data lacks valuation metrics, guidance, and a longer comparable quarterly history, so it does not support a valuation-based conclusion.
Key Levels & Triggers
- Near-term support references: $61.3922 (reported session low) and approximately $59.86 (daily lower Bollinger band). A move below these areas would weaken the oversold-bounce case; the feed does not establish that either level will hold.
- Near-term resistance references: EMA 12 at $64.64, followed by the EMA 26 and SMA 20 near $67.31–$67.41. A sustained recovery above these levels would improve the short-term technical picture, though the supplied data does not confirm a reversal.
- Broader trend reference: EMA 50 at $70.29 and SMA 200 at $81.47 are substantially above the current price, underscoring the distance required for a trend improvement.
- Trading-room read for the next regular-session close: bearish-leaning, but not a high-conviction directional call because the price fields are inconsistent and RSI indicates an oversold condition.