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NetflixNFLX

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$71.92-5.03%

AI Multi-Horizon Analysis

Short-term70% confidence
Bullish

1-minute price holds above EMA cluster at 78.04-78.15, MACD positive crossover; volume light but RSI recovering from oversold.

Mid-term65% confidence
Bullish

1-hour and 15-minute charts show overbought RSI but sustained MACD bullish; price above 20- and 50-period SMAs.

Long-term55% confidence
Neutral

Weekly and monthly frames show price far below 200-period SMA and bearish MACD; however, quarterly FCF remains positive and leverage improving.

Overall AI View65% confidence
Bullish

Strong intraday momentum across 1H/15m with RSI overbought but MACD bullish; daily trend remains corrective after 29 % decline from highs, but quarterly financials show margin expansion and improving leverage.

Detailed AI Fundamental Analysis

Business Snapshot

  • Company: Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)
  • Sector / Industry: Not provided
  • Listed: 2002-05-23
  • Current Price: $78.03
  • Session High/Low: $78.4 / $70.55
  • Market Status: Post-market
  • Active Timeframe: 1H

Financial Trends

  • Revenue:

    • Q2 2026: $12,559,938,000
    • Q1 2026: $12,249,757,000
    • Q4 2025: $45,183,036,000
    • Q3 2025: $11,510,307,000
    • Trend: Revenue has been increasing, with a 2.5% increase from Q1 to Q2 2026. However, the Q4 2025 figure is significantly higher, likely due to annual reporting, and should be considered separately.
  • Operating Margins:

    • Q2 2026: 33.38%
    • Q1 2026: 32.30%
    • Q4 2025: 29.49%
    • Q3 2025: 28.22%
    • Trend: Operating margins have been improving, with a 1.08% increase from Q1 to Q2 2026 and a 5.16% increase from Q3 2025 to Q2 2026.
  • Net Margins:

    • Q2 2026: 27.08%
    • Q1 2026: 43.13%
    • Q4 2025: 24.30%
    • Q3 2025: 22.13%
    • Trend: Net margins have shown volatility, with a significant drop from 43.13% in Q1 2026 to 27.08% in Q2 2026. This could be due to one-time events or changes in operating expenses.
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF):

    • Q2 2026: $1,525,168,000
    • Q1 2026: $5,094,075,000
    • Q4 2025: $9,461,053,000
    • Q3 2025: $2,660,455,000
    • Trend: FCF has been strong but has decreased from Q1 to Q2 2026 by $3,568,907,000. The Q4 2025 figure is significantly higher, likely due to annual reporting.
  • Balance Sheet Strength:

    • Total Assets: Decreased from $61,015,914,000 in Q1 2026 to $58,450,441,000 in Q2 2026.
    • Total Liabilities: Decreased from $29,889,515,000 in Q1 2026 to $28,298,389,000 in Q2 2026.
    • Shareholders' Equity: Decreased from $31,126,399,000 in Q1 2026 to $30,152,052,000 in Q2 2026.
    • Debt/Equity Ratio: Improved from 0.43 in Q1 2026 to 0.39 in Q2 2026.
    • Current Ratio: Decreased from 1.41 in Q1 2026 to 1.14 in Q2 2026.
    • Working Capital: Decreased from $4,939,404,000 in Q1 2026 to $1,718,405,000 in Q2 2026.

Financial Health

  • Latest Period (Q2 2026) vs. Trend:
    • Revenue: Continued growth, but at a slower pace compared to the previous quarter.
    • Margins: Operating margins are strong and improving, but net margins have declined, indicating potential cost pressures or one-time expenses.
    • FCF: Strong but has decreased, which may indicate increased capital expenditures or other cash outflows.
    • Balance Sheet: Total assets and liabilities have decreased, leading to a slight decrease in shareholders' equity. The debt/equity ratio has improved, but the current ratio and working capital have weakened, suggesting a tighter liquidity position.

Insider Activity

  • Sentiment: Neutral (-10)
  • Buys: $43,431.12 across 5 transactions
  • Sells: $18,186,767.15 across 38 transactions
  • Net: $-18,143,336.03 (Buys - Sells)
  • Key Transactions:
    • Barton Richard N: Bought $43,431.12 and sold $162,216.00 on 2026-08-05.
    • Peters Gregory K: Sold $2,008,606.42 on 2026-08-06.
    • Neumann Spencer Adam: Sold $700,906.84 on 2026-08-10.
    • Sarandos Theodore A: Sold $5,969,731.06 on 2026-08-03 and $2,003,422.60 on 2026-08-04.
  • Interpretation: Insiders have been predominantly selling, with a few small buys. This suggests a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment among insiders.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Context

  • 1m Timeframe:

    • Price Action: Opened at $77.3 and closed at $78.04 (+0.96%).
    • Indicators: RSI_14 = 35.27 (oversold), MACD = 0.0046 (bullish crossover), EMA_12 = 78.15, SMA_20 = 78.19, Bollinger Bands (BB) = 78.33 (upper) / 78.19 (middle) / 78.05 (lower).
  • 15m Timeframe:

    • Price Action: Opened at $75.585 and closed at $78.1 (+3.33%).
    • Indicators: RSI_14 = 69.21 (overbought), MACD = 0.433 (bullish), EMA_12 = 77.63, SMA_20 = 77.28, BB = 78.25 (upper) / 77.28 (middle) / 76.3 (lower).
  • 1H Timeframe:

    • Price Action: Opened at $71.9 and closed at $78.1 (+8.62%).
    • Indicators: RSI_14 = 82.28 (overbought), MACD = 0.7824 (bullish), EMA_12 = 76.94, SMA_20 = 76.03, BB = 78.55 (upper) / 76.03 (middle) / 73.51 (lower).
  • 1D Timeframe:

    • Price Action: Opened at $110.067 and closed at $78.24 (-28.92%).
    • Indicators: RSI_14 = 73.73 (overbought), MACD = 0.3431 (bullish), EMA_12 = 74.44, SMA_20 = 72.32, BB = 78.06 (upper) / 72.32 (middle) / 66.59 (lower).
  • 1W Timeframe:

    • Price Action: Opened at $43.438 and closed at $78.08 (+79.75%).
    • Indicators: RSI_14 = 37.78 (neutral), MACD = -5.9955 (bearish), EMA_12 = 77.05, SMA_20 = 83.02, BB = 103.21 (upper) / 83.02 (middle) / 62.82 (lower).
  • 1mo Timeframe:

    • Price Action: Opened at $28.87 and closed at $78.08 (+170.45%).
    • Indicators: RSI_14 = 23.28 (oversold), MACD = 1.0225 (bullish), EMA_12 = 88.02, SMA_20 = 100.17, BB = 135.01 (upper) / 100.17 (middle) / 65.33 (lower).

Bull / Bear Cases

  • Short-Term (Minutes to Days):

    • Bull Case: The 1m, 15m, and 1H timeframes show bullish momentum with overbought RSI and positive MACD crossovers. The price is above key moving averages and within the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting continued upward pressure.
    • Bear Case: The 1D timeframe shows a significant pullback from recent highs, with the price below the 200-day SMA. The 1W and 1mo timeframes also show bearish MACD, indicating potential for further downside.
  • Long-Term (Weeks to Months):

    • Bull Case: The 1mo timeframe shows a strong uptrend with a 170.45% gain, and the RSI is oversold, suggesting a potential bounce. The 1W timeframe also shows a significant recovery from lows, with the price near the middle Bollinger Band.
    • Bear Case: The 1D and 1W timeframes show bearish MACD, and the 1mo timeframe has a bearish MACD signal, indicating potential for a correction. The 1D timeframe also shows a significant pullback, with the price below the 200-day SMA.

Key Levels & Triggers

  • Support Levels:

    • 1H Timeframe: $76.03 (SMA_20), $73.51 (Lower Bollinger Band)
    • 1D Timeframe: $72.32 (SMA_20), $66.59 (Lower Bollinger Band)
    • 1W Timeframe: $83.02 (SMA_20), $62.82 (Lower Bollinger Band)
    • 1mo Timeframe: $100.17 (SMA_20), $65.33 (Lower Bollinger Band)
  • Resistance Levels:

    • 1H Timeframe: $78.55 (Upper Bollinger Band)
    • 1D Timeframe: $78.06 (Upper Bollinger Band)
    • 1W Timeframe: $103.21 (Upper Bollinger Band)
    • 1mo Timeframe: $135.01 (Upper Bollinger Band)
  • Triggers:

    • Bullish: Break above $78.55 (1H Upper Bollinger Band) and $78.06 (1D Upper Bollinger Band) could signal further upside.
    • Bearish: Break below $76.03 (1H SMA_20) and $72.32 (1D SMA_20) could signal a deeper correction.

Financials

From SEC EDGAR · Period 2026-06-30 · Source form 10-Q

Income Statement · last 4 periods

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
2025-09-30
10-Q
Revenue$12.56B$12.25B$45.18B$11.51B
Operating Income$4.19B$3.96B$13.33B$3.25B
Net Income$3.40B$5.28B$10.98B$2.55B
EPS (Diluted)$0.80$1.23$2.53$5.87
Operating Margin33.38%32.30%29.49%28.22%
Net Margin27.08%43.13%24.30%22.13%

Balance Sheet · last 4 periods

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-Q
2025-09-30
10-Q
Total Assets$58.45B$61.02B$55.60B$54.93B
Total Liabilities$28.30B$29.89B$28.98B$28.98B
Shareholders' Equity$30.15B$31.13B$26.62B$25.95B
Cash & Equivalents$9.10B$12.26B$9.03B$9.29B
Long-term Debt$11.83B$13.36B$13.46B$14.46B
Current Ratio1.141.411.191.33
Debt / Equity0.390.430.510.56

Cash Flow · last 4 periods

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
2025-09-30
10-Q
Cash from Operations$1.74B$5.29B$10.15B$2.83B
Cash from Investing-$218.64M-$781.87M$1.04B$43.87M
Cash from Financing-$4.67B-$1.23B-$10.35B-$1.74B
Capital Expenditures$218.64M$196.13M$688.22M$164.72M
Free Cash Flow$1.53B$5.09B$9.46B$2.66B

Income Statement

Revenue
$24.81B
Gross Profit
$362.01M
Operating Income
$8.15B
Net Income
$8.68B
EPS (Basic)
$2.06
EPS (Diluted)
$2.03

Balance Sheet

Total Assets
$58.45B
Total Liabilities
$28.30B
Shareholders' Equity
$30.15B
Cash & Equivalents
$6.66B
Long-term Debt
$11.83B
Shares Outstanding
4.16B

Cash Flow

Cash from Operations
$7.03B
Cash from Investing
-$1.00B
Cash from Financing
-$5.90B
Capital Expenditures
$414.77M
Free Cash Flow
$6.62B

Key Ratios

Gross Margin
1.46%
Operating Margin
32.85%
Net Margin
35.00%
Current Ratio
1.14
Debt / Equity
0.39
Free Cash Flow
$6.62B

Insider Activity

18 insider filings (2026-07-14 to 2026-08-13) — sourced directly from SEC Forms 4/5

Buys
$43.4K · 18
Sells
$18.19M · 38
Net
-$18.14M
Filings Parsed
18
Trade DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-08-10Neumann Spencer AdamSell9,248$75.79$700.9K
2026-08-06Peters Gregory KSell27,312$73.54$2.01M
2026-08-05BARTON RICHARD NBuy2,160$20.11$43.4K
2026-08-05BARTON RICHARD NSell2,160$75.10$162.2K
2026-08-05BARTON RICHARD NSell2,160$0.00$0.00
2026-08-04HYMAN DAVID ASell5,723$72.85$416.9K
2026-08-04SARANDOS THEODORE ASell27,312$73.35$2.00M
2026-08-03Hoag Jay CBuy852$0.00$0.00

Key Stats

$389.84BMarket cap
$134.1252-week high
$75.0152-week low
41,598,509Avg volume (30d)

16,000 employees4.21B shares outstandinglisted 2002-05-23

Next earnings ~Aug 3, 2026

About Netflix

Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.

Recent SimianX AI Analyses

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  • indicatorBearish

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  • decisionBullishconfidence 72%

    MARKET STATE: Regular hours, NFLX at $71.0067, grinding toward resistance at 71.26 with solid macro tailwinds. MY READ: The 1-hour technicals show price above key EMAs with a MACD bullish cross, but the 1-minute tape is over-extended and volume is thin. Macro intelligence is mildly bullish, yet fundamental signals lean bearish—suggesting the edge is to wait for a quick, shallow pullback within the next 1–2 minutes before committing. MY ANALYSIS: - Technical bias: 1H bullish but approaching resistance; 1m momentum stalling. - Fundamental overlay: Macro support (rate-cut expectations) vs. bearish fundamental read—creates a short-term “buy-the-dip” rather than “chase” setup. - Risk: Limited to 3–7 min horizon, so any fill must be close to current price to preserve R:R. AI DECISION (for next 3-7 minutes): Action: LONG Order Type: LIMIT Limit Order Price: $70.75 Expires In Minutes: 30 Confidence: 0.72 Notional USD: $6000.00 Stop Loss: 3.0% from entry Take Profit: 5.5% from entry Rationale: A 0.36% pullback to 70.75 offers an attractive entry just above the 1-minute VWAP and keeps the stop below the recent swing low. The 1.83:1 reward-to-risk aligns with the 3–7 min timeframe; macro support should provide a floor, while resistance at 71.26 caps immediate upside—hence the tight, disciplined exit plan.

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  • indicatorBullish

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  • decisionconfidence 75%

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