
Kusama
KSM
쿠사마는 폴카닷과 동일한 코드베이스를 운영하는 공개 블록체인 네트워크입니다. 이는 폴카닷 네트워크의 카나리아 빌드로, 궁극적으로 폴카닷에 배포될 새로운 기능을 위한 실험 및 개발 환경을 목표로 합니다. 쿠사마의 실험적 특성 덕분에 개발 속도가 훨씬 빠르며, 2019년 출시 이후 상당한 성장을 이루었습니다.

KSM
쿠사마는 폴카닷과 동일한 코드베이스를 운영하는 공개 블록체인 네트워크입니다. 이는 폴카닷 네트워크의 카나리아 빌드로, 궁극적으로 폴카닷에 배포될 새로운 기능을 위한 실험 및 개발 환경을 목표로 합니다. 쿠사마의 실험적 특성 덕분에 개발 속도가 훨씬 빠르며, 2019년 출시 이후 상당한 성장을 이루었습니다.
거래소별 페어를 선택하고 Live를 열면 해당 시장의 분석이 자동으로 시작됩니다.

OKX
평균 승률
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최적 타임프레임
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선택한 페어의 최신 펀더멘털 분석과 뉴스 분석이 분석 시간과 함께 표시됩니다.
분석 시간
3월 6일 오전 1:08
The overall trend is neutral with a mild bullish bias in the short term, but longer timeframes show bearish undertones. The price action is consolidating below key resistance levels.
As an expert crypto fundamental analyst, I'll provide a detailed step-by-step analysis of Kusama (KSM) based on the provided data, including price action, technical indicators, volume trends, and the asset's underlying fundamentals. Kusama is a parachain platform and experimental "canary network" for Polkadot (DOT), sharing the same Substrate codebase. This positions KSM as a high-risk, high-reward asset tied to the Polkadot ecosystem's growth in interoperability, DeFi, and Web3 applications. Its market cap rank of 364 and circulating supply of ~17.48 million (fully diluted) reflect a mid-tier status, with no max supply cap, allowing for potential inflation via governance. The analysis draws from the 1m, 5m, 15m, 1H, 4H, and 1D candle data, indicators (RSI, MACD, EMAs, Bollinger Bands, ATR, etc.), and broader context. Note: The timestamps appear anomalous (e.g., 2026 dates), likely due to data formatting or simulation; I'll treat them as recent for trend purposes.
The overall trend for KSM is mildly bullish in the short term but neutral to bearish on longer timeframes, showing signs of recovery after a prolonged downtrend. Here's the breakdown by timeframe, supported by price action and indicators:
Short-term (1m and 5m): Neutral to slightly bearish. The current price is $4.735 (1m) / $4.726 (5m), down from a recent high of $4.763 within the last hour. On 1m, the price has been ranging tightly between $4.735 and $4.76, with minimal volume (e.g., 0 volume in the latest 1m bar), indicating consolidation or low liquidity. The 5m shows a minor pullback from $4.76 to $4.726 after a spike, with EMAs (12: $4.73, 26: $4.69) converging bullishly and MACD histogram positive (0.0005), suggesting building momentum. However, RSI at 59.28 (5m) is neutral, and the price is testing the lower Bollinger Band ($4.58), hinting at potential downside if support breaks.
Medium-term (15m and 1H): Bullish. On 15m, the price surged from $4.739 to a high of $4.763 before dipping to $4.726, with strong volume (454.4 in the latest bar vs. SMA 740.88). RSI is overbought at 77.03, MACD bullish (histogram 0.0191), and price above key EMAs (12: $4.67, 50: $4.61). The 1H chart shows a clear uptrend from $4.593 (earlier low) to $4.763, closing the latest bar at $4.726 with elevated volume (6,568 vs. SMA 2,820). EMAs are flat around $4.63, but the histogram turned positive (0.0176), indicating a momentum shift. ATR (0.0636) suggests moderate volatility, with the price breaking above the 20 SMA ($4.61).
Longer-term (4H and 1D): Neutral with bearish undertones. The 4H shows choppy action, with the price recovering from $4.593 to $4.763 but closing at $4.726 below the 20 SMA ($4.72) and 50 SMA ($4.88). MACD is negative (-0.0694) but histogram improving (0.0039), and RSI neutral (49.05). Volume spiked to 10,510 (above SMA 6,653), supporting the rally, but the price remains below the 200 SMA ($4.83), confirming no breakout from the downtrend. On 1D, KSM is in a multi-week downtrend from a high of $5.616 (mid-February equivalent) to $4.726, down ~16% from the monthly open ($4.623). However, the latest daily close is up ~4% from the prior low ($4.54), with RSI neutral (49.02) and MACD histogram positive (0.0502), signaling potential exhaustion of sellers. Volume is solid (49,695 vs. SMA 54,886), but below the 50 SMA ($5.52), reflecting waning interest.
Reasoning: Across timeframes, KSM exhibits higher highs and higher lows in the past 24-48 hours (e.g., from $4.424 daily low to $4.763), driven by ecosystem catalysts like Polkadot upgrades. However, the broader downtrend since November 2025 (inferred from 1D data) persists, with price below key SMAs (e.g., 200 SMA $9.82 on 1D, a major bearish signal). Fundamentals tie in here: Kusama's role as Polkadot's testbed benefits from DOT's parachain auctions and crowdloans, but low adoption (e.g., fewer active parachains vs. DOT) caps upside. Overall, short-term momentum is positive, but without breaking $4.80, the trend risks reverting to bearish.
Based on candle highs/lows, indicators, and pivot points from the data:
Support Levels:
Resistance Levels:
Reasoning: These levels are derived from confluence: e.g., $4.70 support matches multiple EMAs and recent lows with volume spikes (e.g., 424 volume on 1m dip to $4.75). Resistance at $4.76 is reinforced by overbought RSI (77 on 15m) and MAC
분석 시간
3월 6일 오전 1:08
The analysis indicates a bullish outlook for KSM, driven by increased interest in crypto due to regulatory uncertainty and global events, with multiple news items suggesting buying pressure.
Currently, no prediction market data is available from Polymarket. However, the overall sentiment from the news suggests a shift towards bullishness in the crypto market, particularly regarding regulatory clarity and increased trading activities on decentralized platforms.
In summary, the confluence of news suggests a positive trajectory for KSM in the short term, bolstered by heightened trading activity and potential regulatory clarity. Traders should remain vigilant for rapid developments that could influence market sentiment.

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원문 열기거래소별 현물 및 무기한 시장을 모두 확인하고 바로 분석을 시작할 수 있습니다.
현재 필터 기준으로 KSM의 모델별 성과를 확인하세요.
현재 KSM의 거래 데이터가 없습니다
Kusama에서 AI 모델이 어떤 성과를 내는지 확인하고, 거래소별 라이브 시장을 비교한 뒤, 열고 싶은 페어를 선택하세요.
자산 수준의 랭킹에서 특정 라이브 시장으로 넘어가고 싶을 때 이 페이지를 활용하세요.
주목도가 높은 다른 자산 페이지도 확인해 보세요.
지원 거래소에서 현재 거래 가능한 KSM의 라이브 시장입니다. 현물과 무기한 옵션을 비교한 뒤, 실제로 분석하고 싶은 시장을 열 수 있습니다.
선택한 시장이 미리 설정된 상태로 Live가 열리고, 분석이 자동으로 시작됩니다. 이 페이지에서 확인하고 싶은 시장으로 곧바로 이동할 수 있습니다.
반드시 그렇지는 않습니다. KSM에서 우수한 모델이라도 거래소와 계약 유형에 따라 결과가 달라질 수 있으므로, 이 페이지에서는 전체 모델 랭킹과 열 수 있는 구체적인 시장을 함께 보여줍니다.