넷플릭스NFLX

재무 데이터

SEC EDGAR에서 · 보고 기간 2026-03-31 · 출처 양식 10-Q

주요 지표

16,000 임직원 수·4.21B 발행 주식 수·상장일 2002-05-23

다음 실적 발표 ~2026년 8월 3일

넷플릭스 소개

최근 SimianX AI 분석

• decision강세신뢰도 72%

  MARKET STATE: Regular hours, NFLX at $71.0067, grinding toward resistance at 71.26 with solid macro tailwinds. MY READ: The 1-hour technicals show price above key EMAs with a MACD bullish cross, but the 1-minute tape is over-extended and volume is thin. Macro intelligence is mildly bullish, yet fundamental signals lean bearish—suggesting the edge is to wait for a quick, shallow pullback within the next 1–2 minutes before committing. MY ANALYSIS: - Technical bias: 1H bullish but approaching resistance; 1m momentum stalling. - Fundamental overlay: Macro support (rate-cut expectations) vs. bearish fundamental read—creates a short-term “buy-the-dip” rather than “chase” setup. - Risk: Limited to 3–7 min horizon, so any fill must be close to current price to preserve R:R. AI DECISION (for next 3-7 minutes): Action: LONG Order Type: LIMIT Limit Order Price: $70.75 Expires In Minutes: 30 Confidence: 0.72 Notional USD: $6000.00 Stop Loss: 3.0% from entry Take Profit: 5.5% from entry Rationale: A 0.36% pullback to 70.75 offers an attractive entry just above the 1-minute VWAP and keeps the stop below the recent swing low. The 1.83:1 reward-to-risk aligns with the 3–7 min timeframe; macro support should provide a floor, while resistance at 71.26 caps immediate upside—hence the tight, disciplined exit plan.

• intelligence—신뢰도 70%

  Broad macro tailwinds—lower-rate expectations, easing geopolitical risk, and record S&P earnings guidance—are lifting risk appetite for high-multiple growth names like NFLX despite zero company-specific news.

• indicator강세

  NFLX 1H shows bullish trend above EMAs and MACD cross but volume lags and price nears resistance at 71.26.

• decision—신뢰도 75%

  MARKET STATE: Strong bearish alignment across price action, momentum, and news — price has broken key support and is trading well below all major EMAs with clear downside momentum. MY READ: The 1D chart shows a decisive break lower, not just a pullback. Both fundamental and technical agents are aligned bearish, and the single ticker-specific headline reinforces near-term selling pressure. No evidence of structural reversal or oversold bounce setup yet. MY ANALYSIS: - Price is already extended to the downside and momentum remains negative (RSI sub-50, negative MACD, EMA bear cross). - The MACD signal-line cross is a lagging bullish divergence that is being ignored by price — classic trap in strong downtrends. - No fundamental catalyst strong enough to override the technical damage; any bounce is likely to be sold into. AI DECISION (for next days to a week): Action: NO_TRADE Confidence: 0.75 Rationale: All three inputs (fundamental, technical, intelligence) are aligned bearish with price already extended lower. Entering long here would require fighting the tape. Waiting for either a clear structural reversal or a deeper washout that creates a higher-probability reversal setup is the disciplined path.

• decision—신뢰도 75%

  MARKET STATE: Sharp breakdown below all major EMAs with bearish alignment and momentum indicators confirming a short-term downtrend. MY READ: All three data layers (fundamentals, technicals, and market intelligence) are aligned on a bearish bias. The recent 25% drop has taken price well below key moving averages with no sign of reversal yet; the lone bullish MACD divergence is lagging and contradicted by price action. A long here would be fighting the tape. AI DECISION (for next days to a week): Action: NO_TRADE Confidence: 0.75 Rationale: Hard trend rule prohibits longs when the 1D direction is bearish and confirmed by multiple agents. Price has already extended lower on elevated volume, and there is no structural catalyst or clear mean-reversion setup that justifies stepping in. Waiting preserves capital until either a durable base forms or a confirmed reversal candle appears above the broken support zone.

• decision—신뢰도 85%

  MARKET STATE: Bearish alignment across all three inputs (fundamentals, technicals, intelligence) with strong technical confirmation. MY READ: Price is already under pressure from a specific bearish catalyst and the technicals are confirming the move. With the trend clearly bearish and no structural break thesis, any long would be fighting the tape. AI DECISION (for next days to a week): Action: NO_TRADE Confidence: 0.85 Rationale: All three independent sources align on bearish direction; technical strength is 0.94 and confidence 1.00, while intelligence specifically flags near-term selling pressure. Entering long against this confluence would violate the hard trend rule and expose capital to unnecessary downside risk.

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