SP

State Street SPDR S&P 500SPY

ARCA
766,88 $+0.20%

AI многогоризонтный анализ

Короткий срокуверенность 50%
Медвежий

No intraday candle data supplied; daily volume 39 % below average and MACD bearish crossover suggest limited near-term bullish follow-through.

Средний срокуверенность 60%
Нейтральный

Price holds above the 50-day SMA but momentum is flat; a break of the 20-day SMA could shift the bias quickly.

Долгий срокуверенность 70%
Бычий

Price remains materially above the 200-day SMA and the 200-bar return is +13.2 %, preserving the multi-week uptrend.

Общий ИИ-взглядуверенность 55%
Нейтральный

SPY is in a broad uptrend above its 50- and 200-day SMAs but shows short-term momentum deterioration with MACD below its signal line and subdued volume.

Подробный фундаментальный ИИ-анализ

Этот анализ изначально был написан на английский. Кэшированной версии на русский ещё нет — запустите живой анализ выше, чтобы сгенерировать.

Business Snapshot

  • SPY is the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, a U.S.-listed ETF trading on ARCA in USD. It is not an operating company; its performance is intended to reflect the S&P 500 Index.
  • Because SPY is an ETF, company-level revenue, margins, free cash flow, and insider ownership metrics are not applicable to the fund itself. The relevant fundamental exposure is the aggregate performance, valuation, earnings, and balance-sheet condition of its underlying S&P 500 holdings; those data were not provided.
  • Current price: $765.91. The market is closed.

Financial Trends

  • No four-period income statements, balance sheets, or cash-flow statements were provided for SPY or its underlying index constituents.
  • Consequently, revenue growth, operating-margin trajectory, free-cash-flow changes, debt trends, and balance-sheet strength cannot be quantified from the supplied payload.
  • The available market-data history shows SPY’s 200-bar close rising from $676.47 to $765.91, a gain of 13.22% over the period. This is price performance, not evidence of a specific revenue or earnings trend.
  • Volume is currently 27.43 million, below the 20-day average of 44.75 million, indicating lighter-than-average participation in the latest session.

Financial Health

  • SPY’s fund-level financial health cannot be assessed using corporate solvency measures because the payload does not include ETF holdings, tracking difference, expense ratio, assets, flows, or portfolio-level fundamentals.
  • The long-term price structure remains constructive: the current price is above the 50-day SMA of $752.75 and 200-day SMA of $708.43.
  • Near-term momentum is mixed. Price is only slightly above the 20-day SMA of $764.80, while the daily MACD (4.5354) is below its signal line (5.8989), suggesting momentum has weakened despite the broader uptrend.

Insider Activity

  • No insider sentiment filings were found for May 27, 2026 through August 25, 2026.
  • No Forms 4/5 transactions were found for July 26, 2026 through August 25, 2026.
  • Insider activity is generally less informative for an ETF than for an operating company, since SPY represents a portfolio rather than management ownership in a single business.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Context

  • Ultra-short horizon — minutes: Intraday candle data below the daily timeframe was not provided, so precise minute-level support, resistance, and momentum signals are unavailable. The latest volume being approximately 38.7% below its 20-day average suggests limited confirmation from participation.
  • Short horizon — hours to days: RSI-14 is 45.41, which is neutral-to-soft rather than overbought. RSI-21 is 63.57, still consistent with a broader positive trend but showing a different momentum profile. MACD remains positive in absolute terms but is below its signal line, a bearish short-term crossover condition.
  • Price is near the daily Bollinger middle band at $764.80 and well below the upper band at $789.35. The lower band is $740.25, giving a broad technical range around current levels.
  • Long horizon — weeks to months: The structure remains bullish while price holds above the 50-day SMA of $752.75 and especially the 200-day SMA of $708.43. The 200-bar gain of 13.22% supports a positive intermediate trend, although the current price is below the session high of $779.37, indicating some pullback from the recent extreme.

Bull / Bear Cases

  • Short-term bull case:

    • Holding the $764.80 20-day SMA and reclaiming the recent high near $779.37 would improve momentum.
    • A move through the upper Bollinger band at $789.35 could signal renewed upside acceleration, though it would also indicate an extended move.
    • The price remains above the 50-day and 200-day averages, preserving the underlying upward bias.
  • Short-term bear case:

    • The MACD is below its signal line, RSI-14 is below 50, and current volume is well below its 20-day average.
    • A sustained break below $764.80 could expose the lower Bollinger region near $740.25.
    • Failure to hold the 50-day SMA near $752.75 would weaken the intermediate setup.
  • Long-term bull case:

    • Price is materially above the 200-day SMA, and the 200-bar return is positive at 13.22%.
    • Continued strength above the 50-day and 200-day averages would keep the weeks-to-months trend constructive.
  • Long-term bear case:

    • A decisive break below the 50-day SMA, followed by deterioration toward the 200-day SMA, would indicate a broader trend transition.
    • The payload does not include S&P 500 earnings, valuation, economic, or constituent-level data, so fundamental downside catalysts cannot be identified here.

Key Levels & Triggers

  • Immediate pivot: $764.80, the 20-day SMA and Bollinger middle band.
  • Near-term support: $761.83, the 26-day EMA; then $752.75, the 50-day SMA.
  • Broader support: $740.25, the lower Bollinger band; then $708.43, the 200-day SMA.
  • Resistance: $779.37, the reported session high; then $789.35, the upper Bollinger band.
  • Bullish trigger: Hold above $764.80 and break above $779.37 with improving volume; a move above $789.35 would represent further upside expansion.
  • Bearish trigger: Lose $764.80 and then $752.75, particularly if accompanied by rising volume. A break below $740.25 would materially weaken the short- and intermediate-term setup.
  • Risk reference: Daily ATR is $4.84, implying a typical daily price range of roughly that magnitude based on the supplied indicator.

Ключевые показатели

Капитализация
715,63 $52-недельный максимум
541,52 $52-недельный минимум
76 846 094Средний объем за 30 дней

сотрудникилистинг с 1993-01-22дивидендная доходность 1.01%

Дата отсечения 20 мар. 2026 г. · Дивиденд $1.80 quarterly

Недавние ИИ-анализы SimianX

  • intelligenceуверенность 75%

    Mildly bearish-to-neutral bias for SPY at the next open driven by weak futures and caution ahead of PCE and Nvidia, partially offset by softer oil and yields.

  • indicatorНейтральный

    Daily bullish structure persists above key moving averages, but MACD is bearish, volume is sub-average, and price sits just below the 12-day EMA.

  • intelligenceуверенность 75%

    Moderately bearish SPY bias driven by Nvidia earnings risk and tech-sector weakness; macro pressures from yields, tariffs, and recession fears amplify downside vulnerability at the next open.

  • indicatorМедвежий

    Daily close under the 12-day EMA with volume below average and MACD bearish signal suggests near-term pressure.

  • intelligenceуверенность 70%

    SPY faces moderately bearish pressure at the next open driven by U.S.-Canada trade-war risk and Iran oil-supply threats that could lift inflation and curb Fed easing expectations.

  • indicatorБычий

    SPY holds above key moving averages on a gap-up inside-bar, but MACD crossover and below-average volume limit conviction.

Последние новости

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