GL

SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR GoldGLD

ARCA

Commodity Brokers

$399.73-0.89%

AI Multi-Horizon Analysis

Short-term60% confidence
Bullish

1D chart shows price well above all key EMAs; MACD bullish and RSI elevated but not overbought.

Mid-term70% confidence
Bullish

AUM peaked at $155.2B in Mar-26, fell 16% in Jun-26; price still above 200-day SMA.

Long-term50% confidence
Neutral

Multi-quarter AUM trajectory decelerated sharply; gold price must stabilize to restore bull thesis.

Overall AI View65% confidence
Bullish

Gold ETV shows strong multi-quarter AUM growth reversed in latest quarter; price momentum remains bullish with RSI 78.9 and MACD above signal, but large AUM contraction signals caution.

Detailed AI Fundamental Analysis

Business Snapshot

  • GLD (SPDR Gold Trust) is a grantor-trust ETV, not an operating company. It holds physical gold bullion; shares represent a fractional interest in that bullion. Economic performance is driven entirely by the gold spot price less the trust's sponsor fee.
  • There is no revenue, no product pipeline, no customers, and no debt in the conventional sense — total liabilities at 2026-06-30 were just $45.4M against $130.1B of assets (≈0.03%).
  • The only true expense line is the sponsor/trustee fee: $149.8M in the June 2026 quarter, in line with a ~0.4% annual fee on average AUM.
  • Scale is still enormous: $130.1B of gold under trust, down from a $155.2B peak in March 2026.
  • SEC linkage is the statutory trust entity; there are no "insiders" in the operating-company sense — the vehicle simply issues and redeems baskets against bullion.

Financial Trends

  • Total Assets (AUM trajectory): $124.6B (Sep 2025) → $148.5B (Dec 2025, +19.2% QoQ) → $155.2B (Mar 2026, +4.5% QoQ) → $130.1B (Jun 2026, -16.2% QoQ / -$25.1B). Latest period vs four periods ago: +4.4% (+$5.5B). The multi-quarter growth trend inflected sharply into contraction in the latest quarter.
  • Shareholders' Equity: tracks assets almost one-for-one — $124.5B → $148.2B → $155.1B → $130.1B. The trust is effectively 100% equity-funded; no leverage.
  • Total Liabilities: $38.3M → $247.9M (Dec spike, immaterial at 0.17% of assets) → $56.8M → $45.4M. No debt concerns at any point.
  • Net Income (mark-to-market on bullion): +$16.8B (Sep 2025) → +$15.5B (Dec 2025, -7.9% QoQ) → +$10.2B (Mar 2026, -34.0% QoQ) → -$19.4B (Jun 2026, a -$29.6B swing). This is the gold-price mark, not distributable earnings — but the trajectory is a clear deceleration into a significant loss quarter.
  • EPS: $49.89 → $42.49 → $27.18 → -$53.54 — same inflection, per share.
  • Operating Expenses (sponsor fee): $108.2M → $140.4M (+29.8% QoQ) → $165.7M (+18.0% QoQ) → $149.8M (-9.6% QoQ). Fees scaled up with AUM in Q3/Q4 and down only 9.6% in June even though AUM fell 16.2%. Latest vs four periods ago: +38.4%.
  • Margins / FCF: Not applicable — no revenue, and cash from operations is $0 across all four periods, structurally expected for a passive bullion trust that creates/redeems in kind.

Financial Health

  • The balance sheet is the cleanest possible for a bullion vehicle: $130.1B in gold assets, $45.4M in liabilities, no leverage, no working-capital stress to speak of.
  • The $-19.4B "net loss" in the June quarter is a valuation mark on gold, not a cash burn. Health here is really a function of gold price direction and investor flows.
  • The 16.2% QoQ AUM contraction in June 2026 is the key red flag — it tells you either gold marked down significantly, investors redeemed, or both. Two quarters of strong AUM growth (+19.2%, +4.5%) reversed in one quarter.
  • Expense drag is modest but not trivial: a ~0.42% annualized fee on the June-quarter asset base compounds against NAV whether gold rises or falls.
  • Overall: the legal entity is fundamentally sound. The operative risk is 100% gold price / flows risk, not credit or operational risk.

Insider Activity

  • No insider filings found in the 2026-05-19 to 2026-08-17 sentiment window, and none in the Forms 4/5 window (2026-07-18 to 2026-08-17).
  • Expected: GLD is a passive grantor trust with no officers or directors in the operating-company sense. Insider filings are not a meaningful signal here.
  • The equivalent flow signal for an ETV is creation/redemption activity — visible in the 10-Q's share movement — rather than insider buying/selling. No creation/redemption detail was provided in this payload.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Context

  • Only 1D timeframe data was provided — no

Financials

From SEC EDGAR · Period 2026-06-30 · Source form 10-Q

Income Statement · last 4 periods

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-Q
2025-09-30
10-K
Net Income-$19.38B$10.22B$15.49B$16.83B

Balance Sheet · last 4 periods

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-Q
2025-09-30
10-Q
Total Assets$130.10B$155.17B$148.48B$124.57B
Total Liabilities$45.42M$56.77M$247.94M$38.26M
Shareholders' Equity$130.05B$155.11B$148.23B$124.53B

Cash Flow · last 4 periods

 
2026-06-30
10-Q
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-Q
2025-09-30
10-K
Cash from Operations$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00

Income Statement

Revenue
Gross Profit
$4.80M
Operating Income
-$85.78M
Net Income
$6.34B
EPS (Basic)
$17.25
EPS (Diluted)

Balance Sheet

Total Assets
$130.10B
Total Liabilities
$45.42M
Shareholders' Equity
$0.00
Cash & Equivalents
$0.00
Long-term Debt
Shares Outstanding
352.40M

Cash Flow

Cash from Operations
$0.00
Cash from Investing
Cash from Financing
Capital Expenditures
Free Cash Flow

Key Ratios

Gross Margin
Operating Margin
Net Margin
Current Ratio
Debt / Equity
Free Cash Flow

Key Stats

Market cap
52-week high
52-week low
Avg volume (30d)

employees

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