AI Multi-Horizon Analysis
Price holds above short-term EMAs with positive MACD, but low volume and overbought 1-hour RSI limit conviction.
Intraday momentum positive but daily chart still below 20-day SMA and showing structural damage from 30.87% decline.
FCF worsened from -0.36B to -23.69B, capex surged to 55.66B, cash fell 7.17B, weekly and monthly price remain below key moving averages.
Despite improving revenue and operating income across recent quarters, accelerating capex has driven sharply negative free cash flow, declining cash balances, and weakening working capital, outweighing the intraday technical recovery.
Detailed AI Fundamental Analysis
Business Snapshot
- Oracle Corp. (NYSE: ORCL) is a US-listed common stock trading in USD. The payload does not provide a sector or industry classification.
- Current pre-market price: $147.39; session range: $137.43–$153.99.
- The supplied financial data shows substantial revenue and operating-income growth across the reported periods, alongside a sharp increase in capital expenditures and increasingly negative free cash flow.
- Shares outstanding increased from 2.841 billion on 2025-08-31 to 2.880 billion on 2026-05-31, a net increase of approximately 39 million shares.
Financial Trends
- Revenue trajectory: Reported revenue rose from $14.926 billion on 2025-08-31 to $16.058 billion on 2025-11-30, up $1.132 billion or 7.6%. It increased again to $17.190 billion on 2026-02-28, up $1.132 billion or 7.0%. The latest 10-K reports $67.357 billion, but this is an annual figure and is not directly comparable with the quarterly amounts. On the comparable quarterly sequence, revenue growth was steady rather than decelerating.
- Operating income and margin: Operating income increased from $4.277 billion to $4.731 billion in the first comparison, a gain of $454 million or 10.6%, then to $5.464 billion, a gain of $733 million or 15.5%. Operating margin improved from 28.65% to 29.46%, then 31.79%, indicating operating leverage. The latest annual operating margin was 30.59%, below the immediately preceding quarterly figure but above the earliest reported quarter.
- Net income and net margin: Net income rose from $2.927 billion to $6.135 billion, then declined to $3.721 billion. The latest quarter-to-quarter change was a decrease of $2.414 billion, or 39.3%. Net margin moved from 19.61% to 38.21%, then down to 21.65%. The latest annual net margin was 25.37%. Net income therefore showed much greater volatility than operating income, with the 2025-11-30 period representing a high base.
- EPS trajectory: Diluted EPS increased from $1.01 to $2.10, then fell to $1.27. The latest annual diluted EPS was $5.83. The data does not provide enough detail to attribute the quarterly EPS volatility.
- Free cash flow: FCF deteriorated sharply from negative $362 million on 2025-08-31 to negative $10.329 billion on 2025-11-30, a decline of $9.967 billion. It worsened to negative $21.813 billion on 2026-02-28, down another $11.484 billion, and reached negative $23.686 billion in the latest annual period. Compared with the earliest period, the latest FCF is $23.324 billion more negative. This is the clearest negative financial trend in the dataset.
- Capital expenditures and investing: Capital expenditures rose from $8.502 billion to $20.535 billion, then $39.170 billion, and $55.663 billion in the latest period. Investing cash outflow expanded from $8.718 billion to $51.854 billion across the reported periods. Investment intensity is accelerating materially.
- Operating cash flow: Cash from operations increased from $8.140 billion to $10.206 billion, then $17.357 billion, and $31.977 billion. This is a strong upward trajectory, but it has not kept pace with the increase in capital expenditures, producing increasingly negative FCF.
- Liquidity and working capital: Current assets rose from $24.634 billion to $34.366 billion, $54.874 billion, then declined to $46.567 billion. Current liabilities moved from $39.874 billion to $37.795 billion, $40.737 billion, and $41.764 billion. Working capital improved from negative $15.240 billion to negative $3.429 billion, then positive $14.137 billion, before falling to positive $4.803 billion. The current ratio improved from 0.62 to 0.91, 1.35, then eased to 1.12.
- Cash balance: Cash and equivalents increased from $10.445 billion to $19.241 billion, then $38.455 billion, before declining to $31.289 billion. Latest cash remains $20.844 billion above the earliest reported level, but declined $7.166 billion from the prior period.
- Assets and equity: Total assets increased every period, from $180.449 billion to $204.984 billion, $245.240 billion, and $261.759 billion. Shareholders’ equity also rose from $24.154 billion to $29.951 billion, $38.495 billion, and $42.508 billion. Retained earnings improved from negative $14.054 billion to negative $4.309 billion, a cumulative improvement of $9.745 billion, though they remained negative in the latest period.
- Debt: Debt-to-equity data is unavailable, so leverage cannot be assessed comprehensively from the supplied balance sheet.
Financial Health
- The latest financial picture is mixed: revenue, operating income, operating cash flow, total assets, and equity all show strong growth, while FCF and liquidity have weakened from their immediately preceding levels.
- Operating performance appears resilient. Comparable quarterly operating income advanced from $4.277 billion to $5.464 billion, and operating margin expanded by 3.14 percentage points over that sequence.
- The principal financial risk is the scale and acceleration of investment spending. Latest reported capex of $55.663 billion exceeded operating cash flow of $31.977 billion by approximately $23.686 billion, matching the reported negative FCF.
- Liquidity is currently positive on a working-capital basis, with a 1.12 current ratio and $4.803 billion of working capital, but both measures deteriorated from 1.35 and $14.137 billion in the prior period.
- Cash remains substantial at $31.289 billion, yet it declined from $38.455 billion while investing outflows and capex expanded. Financing cash flow was strongly positive at $40.284 billion in the latest period, but the payload does not identify its components.
- No debt figures or debt maturities are supplied. Accordingly, the balance-sheet risk from financing the investment program cannot be fully quantified.
- Overall, the trend supports a business with improving operating profitability but a capital-intensive expansion profile that currently absorbs more cash than operations generate.
Insider Activity
- Insider sentiment for 2026-06-05 through 2026-09-03 was Neutral (-6).
- Insiders reported $16.432 million of purchases across 2 transactions versus $63.664 million of sales across 12 transactions.
- Net insider activity was negative $47.232 million, indicating substantially more reported selling than buying during the sentiment window.
- No Forms 4/5 insider filings were found for 2026-08-04 through 2026-09-03, so there is no very recent filing activity in the supplied data.
- Insider transactions are a secondary signal and do not establish the reason for the reported sales.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Context
- Ultra-short horizon — minutes: The 1-minute structure is mildly constructive. Price is above the 12-, 26-, and 50-period EMAs, with MACD at 0.0527 above its 0.0439 signal. RSI-14 is 52.1, suggesting neutral momentum. Price at $147.35 is near the upper Bollinger Band at $147.41. Volume is only 190 versus a 20-period average of approximately 1,467, so the immediate move lacks strong volume confirmation.
- Short horizon — hours to days: The 15-minute chart is also modestly positive: price is above the 12-, 26-, and 50-period EMAs, MACD is 0.2631 versus a 0.2569 signal, and RSI-14 is 54.59. However, the 200-bar move is still negative 1.47%, and current volume is below its 20-period average. The 1-hour chart is stronger but more extended: RSI-14 is 74.52 and RSI-21 is 76.47, both indicating overbought conditions, while MACD remains positive at 0.8149 versus 0.4856. This combination favors upside momentum but raises pullback risk.
- Longer horizon — weeks to months: The daily chart remains structurally damaged after a 200-bar decline of 30.87%. RSI-14 is 39.35, MACD is slightly below its signal, and price is below the 20-day SMA of $147.19 by a small amount while remaining above the 50-day SMA of $139.78. The weekly chart shows a 27.08% 145-bar gain but remains below its 12-, 26-, and 50-week EMAs and below the 20-week SMA of $163.85. Monthly momentum is also weak: RSI-14 is 37.21, MACD is 0.1109 versus a 9.6757 signal, and price is well below the 20-month SMA of $183.43.
- The multi-timeframe picture is therefore mixed: intraday momentum has improved sharply, but daily, weekly, and monthly trends remain below important moving-average structures.
- The provided daily and hourly current prices differ slightly from the stated current price: $145.75/$147.35 versus $147.39. This may reflect different timestamps or feeds.
Bull / Bear Cases
- Short-term bull case: Price is holding above short-term EMAs on both the 1-minute and 15-minute charts, with positive MACD readings and a 1-hour close above the 20-period SMA. A sustained move through the session high of $153.99 would indicate that buyers are overcoming the recent intraday range.
- Short-term bear case: The 1-hour RSI readings above 74 indicate an extended move, while 1-minute and 15-minute volume are below their respective averages. Failure to hold the $147 area could expose the stock to a retest of the session low at $137.43, particularly if the overbought hourly momentum reverses.
- Long-term bull case: Revenue and operating income are rising across comparable quarterly periods, operating margin improved from 28.65% to 31.79%, operating cash flow increased from $8.140 billion to $31.977 billion, and equity expanded from $24.154 billion to $42.508 billion. If the heavy investment program eventually produces sufficient operating cash returns, the improving operating trajectory could support a longer-term recovery.
- Long-term bear case: FCF deteriorated from negative $362 million to negative $23.686 billion, while capex rose to $55.663 billion. Cash declined by $7.166 billion from the prior period, working capital fell by $9.334 billion, and the stock remains below major weekly and monthly trend averages. Negative insider net activity and the absence of debt data add uncertainty to the long-term risk assessment.
- The central fundamental debate is whether accelerating investment is a productive growth phase or a prolonged drain on cash generation. The payload does not provide guidance, backlog, segment results, or return-on-investment data to resolve that question.
Key Levels & Triggers
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