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OracleORCL

NYSE

Software

$120.44+0.02%

AI Multi-Horizon Analysis

Short-term60% confidence
Bearish

1H and 15m frames show price below EMAs with negative MACD; minor volume suggests limited bounce potential.

Mid-term72% confidence
Bearish

Daily RSI deeply oversold yet MACD negative and price far below all SMAs; FCF deterioration remains unaddressed.

Long-term55% confidence
Neutral

Structural revenue and equity growth intact, but persistent negative FCF and rising capex create valuation overhang.

Overall AI View68% confidence
Bearish

Heavy capex-driven negative FCF, insider net selling, and multi-timeframe technical breakdowns outweigh improving equity base and revenue growth.

Detailed AI Fundamental Analysis

Business Snapshot

  • Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) is a U.S.-listed common stock, originally listed March 1986, operating as a leading enterprise software and cloud infrastructure provider.
  • Current price at the close of the active 1H session stands at $148.9994 within a session range of $148.00–$212.80.

Financial Trends

  • Revenue trajectory shows consistent sequential growth: $14.926B (Aug-25) → $16.058B (Nov-25, +7.6%) → $17.190B (Feb-26, +7.0%) → $67.357B full-year (May-26).
  • Operating margin expanded from 28.65% (Aug-25) to 29.46% (Nov-25) to 31.79% (Feb-26) before settling at 30.59% for the full year (May-26).
  • Net margin fluctuated sharply: 19.61% (Aug-25) → 38.21% (Nov-25) → 21.65% (Feb-26) → 25.37% (May-26), driven largely by a one-time spike in the Nov-25 quarter.
  • Free cash flow deteriorated markedly: –$0.362B (Aug-25) → –$10.329B (Nov-25) → –$21.813B (Feb-26) → –$23.686B (May-26), reflecting heavy capital expenditures that rose from $8.502B to $55.663B over the same span.
  • Balance-sheet expansion is evident: total assets grew from $180.449B (Aug-25) to $261.759B (May-26, +45%), while shareholders’ equity more than doubled from $24.154B to $42.508B.
  • Working capital swung from –$15.240B (Aug-25) to +$4.803B (May-26), with the current ratio improving from 0.62× to 1.12×.

Financial Health

  • The latest (May-26) period shows the strongest absolute scale in assets, equity, and cash generation on record, yet the magnitude of negative free cash flow and the surge in capex signal aggressive investment spending.
  • Liquidity has normalized after earlier shortfalls, but the sharp sequential rise in capital expenditures and the resulting FCF drain remain the dominant near-term financial pressure points.
  • Retained earnings turned less negative (–$4.309B vs –$14.054B four periods prior), indicating cumulative profitability is beginning to offset prior deficits.

Insider Activity

  • Overall sentiment for the 30-Mar-26 to 28-Jun-26 window is Neutral (–1), with $58.0M in buys offset by $66.3M in sells for a net outflow of –$8.3M.
  • The largest single transaction was a 24-Jun-26 sale by director Jeffrey Henley of 400k shares at prices between $156.06 and $165.57 (total proceeds ~$61.0M) paired with an offsetting 400k-share acquisition at $40.93 (cost basis $16.4M).
  • Routine director grants and tax-related sales on 31-May-26 involved modest share movements at $225.78, producing negligible net dollar impact.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Context

  • 1-minute: price at $175.37 with RSI-14 at 52.01 and MACD slightly negative; volume below 20-bar average signals limited immediate momentum.
  • 15-minute: sharp 10.15% decline over 200 bars to $148.9994; RSI-14 at 62.06 but RSI-21 at 38.98 indicates mixed short-term momentum.
  • 1-hour: 26.36% drop across 200 bars; price sits below all key EMAs and SMAs, with RSI-14 at 42.22 and widening negative MACD.
  • Daily: 53.47% decline over 200 bars to $148.53, RSI-14 at 11.1 (deep oversold), price well below the lower Bollinger Band ($136.65).
  • Weekly & monthly frames show longer-term gains (+36.96% and +169.86% respectively) but recent price action has erased much of those advances, with both timeframes now printing negative MACD.

Bull / Bear Cases

  • Short-term bull: oversold daily RSI and proximity to the lower Bollinger Band could trigger a technical bounce if volume expands.
  • Short-term bear: sustained negative MACD across 15-min through daily frames and price below all major moving averages suggest continued downside pressure.
  • Long-term bull: multi-quarter revenue and operating-income growth, plus a doubling of equity base, support a structural cloud-transition narrative if capex normalizes.
  • Long-term bear: persistently negative free cash flow and accelerating capital expenditures raise questions about cash-flow sustainability and potential future dilution or leverage.

Key Levels & Triggers

  • Immediate resistance: $150.07 (20-hour SMA) and $152.18 (upper 1H Bollinger Band).
  • Support: $147.97 (lower 1H Bollinger Band) and $136.65 (lower daily Bollinger Band).
  • Volume trigger: sustained prints above the 20-period daily average (31.4M shares) would confirm any reversal attempt.
  • Fundamental trigger: next quarterly update on capital-expenditure trajectory and free-cash-flow inflection will be the primary catalyst for multi-week positioning.

Financials

From SEC EDGAR · Period 2026-05-31 · Source form 10-K

Income Statement · last 4 periods

 
2026-05-31
10-K
2026-02-28
10-Q
2025-11-30
10-Q
2025-08-31
10-Q
Revenue$67.36B$17.19B$16.06B$14.93B
Operating Income$20.61B$5.46B$4.73B$4.28B
Net Income$17.09B$3.72B$6.13B$2.93B
EPS (Diluted)$5.83$1.27$2.10$1.01
Operating Margin30.59%31.79%29.46%28.65%
Net Margin25.37%21.65%38.21%19.61%

Balance Sheet · last 4 periods

 
2026-05-31
10-K
2026-02-28
10-Q
2025-11-30
10-Q
2025-08-31
10-Q
Total Assets$261.76B$245.24B$204.98B$180.45B
Shareholders' Equity$42.51B$38.49B$29.95B$24.15B
Cash & Equivalents$31.29B$38.45B$19.24B$10.45B
Current Ratio1.121.350.910.62

Cash Flow · last 4 periods

 
2026-05-31
10-K
2026-02-28
10-Q
2025-11-30
10-Q
2025-08-31
10-Q
Cash from Operations$31.98B$17.36B$10.21B$8.14B
Cash from Investing-$51.85B-$35.98B-$16.43B-$8.72B
Cash from Financing$40.28B$46.20B$14.70B$210.00M
Capital Expenditures$55.66B$39.17B$20.54B$8.50B
Free Cash Flow-$23.69B-$21.81B-$10.33B-$362.00M

Income Statement

Revenue
$48.17B
Gross Profit
$5.46B
Operating Income
$14.47B
Net Income
$17.31B
EPS (Basic)
$4.47
EPS (Diluted)
$4.38

Balance Sheet

Total Assets
$245.24B
Total Liabilities
Shareholders' Equity
$38.49B
Cash & Equivalents
$38.45B
Long-term Debt
Shares Outstanding
2.88B

Cash Flow

Cash from Operations
$17.36B
Cash from Investing
-$35.98B
Cash from Financing
$46.20B
Capital Expenditures
$39.17B
Free Cash Flow
-$21.81B

Key Ratios

Gross Margin
11.33%
Operating Margin
30.04%
Net Margin
35.93%
Current Ratio
1.35
Debt / Equity
Free Cash Flow
-$21.81B

Insider Activity

9 insider filings (2026-05-29 to 2026-06-28) — sourced directly from SEC Forms 4/5

Buys
$16.37M · 15
Sells
$63.70M · 20
Net
-$47.32M
Filings Parsed
9
Trade DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-06-24HENLEY JEFFREYBuy400,000$40.93$16.37M
2026-06-24HENLEY JEFFREYSell74,969$156.06$11.70M
2026-06-24HENLEY JEFFREYSell78,559$157.02$12.34M
2026-06-24HENLEY JEFFREYSell45,872$157.89$7.24M
2026-06-24HENLEY JEFFREYSell16,802$159.07$2.67M
2026-06-24HENLEY JEFFREYSell62,582$160.08$10.02M
2026-06-24HENLEY JEFFREYSell48,353$160.86$7.78M
2026-06-24HENLEY JEFFREYSell16,809$162.18$2.73M

Key Stats

$521.05BMarket cap
$345.7252-week high
$134.5752-week low
28,591,843Avg volume (30d)

162,000 employees2.88B shares outstandinglisted 1986-03-12dividend yield 1.21%

Next earnings ~Jul 3, 2026 · Ex-dividend Apr 9, 2026 · Dividend $0.50 quarterly

About Oracle

Oracle provides enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings through a variety of flexible IT deployment models, including on-premises, cloud-based, and hybrid. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system, which is commonly used by the world's largest companies for high-volume online transaction processing workloads. Besides databases, Oracle also sells enterprise resource planning platforms and cloud infrastructure that play an increasingly important role in large language model training and inferencing.

Recent SimianX AI Analyses

  • intelligenceNeutralconfidence 70%

    ORCL has no company-specific catalysts and will trade as a beta proxy to broader equity futures lifted by geopolitical de-escalation.

  • decisionconfidence 82%

    MARKET STATE: Bearish technicals and fundamentals are aligned, but market intelligence shows bullish long-term narrative despite macro rate concerns. MY READ: Price is likely to continue lower in the next few hours given the strong bearish technical signal (0.96 strength). The intelligence narrative is long-term bullish, but that doesn't override near-term price action. Risk of chasing any bounce is high. MY ANALYSIS: The technical and fundamental agents both point bearish with high conviction, creating a clear near-term headwind. While the intelligence sentiment is bullish on AI growth, this is a multi-year thesis that won't protect against hours-to-half-day downside. No structural break or reversal signal is present to justify going long against the tape. AI DECISION (for next hours to half a day): Action: NO_TRADE Confidence: 0.82 Rationale: Both technical (0.96 strength, bearish) and fundamental (0.68 confidence, bearish) signals are aligned against long exposure. The bullish intelligence narrative is long-term in nature and does not provide a catalyst for the next hours to half a day. With the trend clearly bearish, entering long here would be fighting the tape—waiting for either a reversal confirmation or a better risk/reward setup is the disciplined approach.

  • intelligenceconfidence 70%

    Cautiously optimistic outlook for ORCL driven by long-term AI growth narrative and $800/share target by 2030, tempered by macro rate concerns.

  • indicatorBearish

    1H price is below all key EMAs and SMAs with oversold RSI and bearish MACD.

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