AI Multi-Horizon Analysis
Price at session low near lower BB with negative MACD and sub-35 RSI; minor relief possible but downside bias persists until reclaim of $446.40 EMAs.
Bearish momentum dominates on 15m/1H with price below all key EMAs/SMAs, RSI 25-32, negative MACD; daily also below short-term averages despite longer-term uptrend intact.
Long-term monthly trend remains bullish above EMAs with positive MACD and rising assets/equity/margins/FCF trajectory, but weekly/daily momentum damaged and latest net income dip plus net insider selling introduce caution; balanced risk/reward pending macro and guidance (not supplied).
AMAT shows strong multi-quarter revenue growth (+15.2% Q4 vs Q3), expanding gross/operating margins, improving debt/equity (0.32→0.20), and accelerating FCF ($1.04B→$3.58B), yet latest net income and margin declined; however, sharp recent price drop to session lows with deeply oversold but still bearish momentum across 1m/15m/1H/daily charts outweighs the constructive fundamentals in the near term.
Detailed AI Fundamental Analysis
Business Snapshot
- Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) is a US-listed common stock, linked to SEC registrant Applied Materials Inc. (CIK 6951). The supplied data does not include a business description, sector classification, or company guidance.
- The security has had a large longer-term advance in the provided history, but recent price action is sharply weaker: current price is $446.21, versus a 1-day timeframe open of $260.82 and a 1-week timeframe open of $149.83. Those timeframe returns describe the supplied chart windows, not a forecast.
Financial Trends
- Revenue: The latest quarterly figure rose to $9.115B from $7.910B in the prior reported quarter (+$1.205B, +15.2%); the prior quarter was up from $7.012B (+$898M, +12.8%). The latest figure is $1.575B, or 20.9%, above the $7.540B quarterly average implied by the 2025-10-26 full-year total of $28.368B. That comparison is approximate because the oldest figure is an annual total, unlike the three newer quarterly entries.
- Margins and earnings: Gross margin expanded each reported period: 48.67% → 48.99% → 49.90% → 50.31%, a 1.64 percentage-point increase from the oldest period. Operating margin moved 29.22% → 26.11% → 31.90% → 33.74%: it dipped, then recovered, rising 1.84 points from the prior period and 4.52 points from the oldest. Net margin was 24.67% → 28.89% → 35.47% → 27.84%; it fell 7.63 points in the latest period despite higher revenue and operating income. Net income likewise declined from $2.806B to $2.538B (−$268M, −9.5%) after rising from $2.026B; the supplied data does not explain the latest divergence from operating income growth.
- Free cash flow (FCF): FCF increased from $1.040B → $1.250B → $3.580B across the three latest quarterly entries, up $2.330B, or 186.4%, in the latest period versus the prior one. The oldest entry is a full-year $5.698B, so it is not directly comparable to a single quarter; the latest quarterly amount is below that annual total.
- Balance sheet: Total assets increased $7.223B (+19.9%) from $36.299B to $43.522B across the four dates; equity rose $5.211B (+25.5%) from $20.415B to $25.626B. Long-term debt declined from $6.455B to $5.245B (−$1.210B, −18.7%), with most of that reduction between the January and April entries. Cash ended at $7.037B, down $204M from the oldest balance. Current liabilities rose $2.358B (+29.5%) from $7.999B, faster than current assets’ $4.214B (+20.2%) increase from $20.881B. Accordingly, the current ratio eased from 2.61 to 2.42 from the oldest to latest period, after reaching 2.71 in January; it remains above 2 in the supplied figures. Debt/equity improved from 0.32 to 0.20.
Financial Health
- The latest figures show strong reported revenue growth and sequential expansion in gross and operating margins, accompanied by a substantial quarterly FCF increase. These are positive operating and cash-generation signals, though the latest net income and net margin declined versus the prior period.
- Balance-sheet leverage has improved: long-term debt is lower and debt/equity has fallen over the four reported dates. Liquidity is still supported by current assets substantially exceeding current liabilities, but the current ratio has declined from its January peak and cash is slightly below the oldest balance.
- These figures support a constructive view of current financial capacity, but the payload does not provide forecasts, valuation multiples, segment detail, or an explanation for the latest net-margin decline. The oldest income-statement and cash-flow entries are annual totals, so comparisons with newer quarterly figures require caution.
Insider Activity
- Reported sentiment for 2026-07-16 to 2026-10-14 is Neutral (-10), with $0 buys across 1 transaction and $5.996M sells across 5 transactions, for a net −$5.996M.
- In the detailed transactions supplied, Adam Sanders reported sales totaling 994 shares across October 1–2 at $529.30 and $544.562, respectively; Timothy M. Deane reported a sale of 2,644 shares at $529.30 on October 1. The associated reported values are approximately $537,000 and $1.399M, respectively.
- The reported sales occurred at prices above the current $446.21 quote, but the supplied data does not establish the sellers’ motivations or whether the transactions were discretionary.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Context
- Ultra-short (minutes): The 1-minute chart is weak: price is below EMA-12/26/50 and SMA-20/50/200, with RSI-14 at 34.95 and RSI-21 at 25.98. MACD is negative and below its signal. Price is near the lower Bollinger band ($445.20) and just above the reported session low ($445.54); volume is slightly above its 20-bar average. Oversold readings may allow a bounce, but do not confirm one.
- Short (hours to days): The 15-minute and 1-hour charts show pronounced downside momentum. On the 1-hour chart, price is below EMA-12 ($453.68), EMA-26 ($463.02), EMA-50 ($475.90) and SMA-200 ($509.68); RSI-14 is 25.41, and MACD is negative. The 15-minute RSI-14 is 32.07, with price below its short moving averages and near its lower Bollinger band ($443.01). Current volume is below the respective 20-bar average on both timeframes.
- Weeks to months: The daily chart shows the pullback has taken price below its EMA-12/26/50 and SMA-20/50 (roughly $487–$492), while it remains above the SMA-200 ($437.44). Daily MACD is below its signal, and RSI-14 is 41.46. The weekly chart is also below its SMA-20 ($518.87) and has negative MACD versus signal, but remains above its EMA-50 ($417.71) and SMA-50 ($407.76). In contrast, the monthly chart remains above its listed moving averages, with positive MACD versus signal and RSI-14 at 64.17. Overall, shorter-term momentum is bearish against a still-elevated longer-term monthly trend.
- The supplied summary reports a $548.59 session high and $445.54 session low; the very wide range indicates elevated volatility. There is a data inconsistency: the stated current price is $446.205, while the timeframe summaries show $445.955. Both are close to the reported session low, but exact levels should be checked against a live quote.
Bull / Bear Cases
- Short-term bull case: Price is near the lower Bollinger bands on the 1-minute, 15-minute, and 1-hour charts, with low RSI readings on the latter two and the 1-minute RSI-21. A stabilization around the session low and a reclaim of nearby short-term moving averages could support a relief bounce.
- Short-term bear case: Price is below key short-term moving averages across the 15-minute, 1-hour, and daily charts; hourly and daily MACD are weak, and the price is pressing the session low. A decisive break below that low would signal further near-term weakness in the supplied chart context.
- Long-term bull case: The monthly chart remains above its listed moving averages and has positive MACD; reported revenue, gross margin, and operating margin have advanced across the newer quarterly entries. Debt/equity has declined and quarterly FCF strengthened in the latest entry.
- Long-term bear case: The pullback has damaged daily and weekly momentum, with price below the daily short/mid-term averages and weekly SMA-20. Net income and net margin fell in the latest period versus the prior period, the current ratio has declined from its January peak, and reported insider activity is net selling. The supplied data does not include valuation or forward guidance to assess how much of these risks may already be reflected in the price.
Key Levels & Triggers
- Immediate support: $445.54, the reported session low; the 1-minute lower Bollinger band is about $445.20. A sustained move below this area would weaken the near-term setup.
- Next technical reference: Daily SMA-200 near $437.44. Below that, the weekly SMA-50 is near $407.76 and weekly EMA-50 near $417.71; these are separate reference levels, not guaranteed support.
- Near-term resistance: 1-minute EMA-12/26 around $446.39–$446.76, then the 15-minute short averages around $448.19–$450.87. A stronger recovery would need to reclaim the hourly EMA-12 near $453.68, followed by the hourly SMA-20 near $457.53.
- Higher resistance: Daily moving averages cluster around $486.65–$491.82; weekly SMA-20 is near $518.87. The supplied session high of $548.59 is a more distant reference.
- Trigger framing: Holding the session low and reclaiming hourly short-term averages would improve the short-term picture; breaking the low and then the daily SMA-200 would increase downside risk. Over weeks to months, recovery above the daily moving-average cluster would be a more meaningful improvement in trend. These are technical reference points, not price targets.