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McDonald'sMCD

NYSE

Restaurants

$267.78-2.38%

AI Multi-Horizon Analysis

Short-term30% confidence
Neutral

No intraday technical data available; price at 276.055 provides no directional signal.

Mid-term45% confidence
Neutral

Net insider selling and sequential revenue/margin declines offset by positive though lower FCF; neutral-to-bearish tilt.

Long-term50% confidence
Neutral

Equity deficit narrowing and resilient operating margins provide support, tempered by persistent leverage and margin compression.

Overall AI View55% confidence
Neutral

Mixed fundamental signals with equity recovery offset by margin compression, high leverage and net insider selling; no technical levels provided.

Detailed AI Fundamental Analysis

Business Snapshot

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is a common stock listed on the NYSE since 1966-07-05 (CIK 0000063908) operating in the retail-eating places sector. The company reports approximately 150,000 employees and carries a market capitalization of $214,556,212,141 at the current price of 276.055. Asset type is common stock with composite FIGI BBG000BNSZP1.

Financial Trends

Revenue trajectory across the four periods shows quarterly figures of $6,843M (2025-06-30), $7,078M (2025-09-30, +235M quarter-over-quarter), and $6,517M (2026-03-31, -561M from prior quarter), with full-year 2025 revenue at $26,885M. Operating margin moved from 47.23% (2025-06-30) to 47.43% (2025-09-30), then 46.10% (2025-12-31) and 45.31% (2026-03-31), indicating mild compression. Net margin followed a steady decline: 32.92% → 32.18% → 31.85% → 30.43%. Free cash flow rose sharply from $1,254M (2025-06-30) to $2,417M (2025-09-30, +1,163M), then fell to $1,730M (2026-03-31, -687M from Q3 peak); full-year 2025 FCF totaled $7,186M. Balance-sheet strength improved as shareholders' equity rose from -$2,760M (2025-06-30) to -$2,163M (2025-09-30), -$1,791M (2025-12-31), and -$1,286M (2026-03-31). Long-term debt remained stable near $40B ($40,801M → $39,483M → $39,973M → $40,105M). Current ratio fluctuated (1.30 → 1.00 → 0.95 → 1.14) while working capital swung from positive $1,303M to $0 to negative $198M before recovering to positive $563M.

Financial Health

The latest quarter (2026-03-31) reflects continued equity improvement and positive working capital alongside strong quarterly operating cash flow of $2,412M, yet this occurs against a backdrop of sequentially lower revenue, compressed operating and net margins, and reduced free cash flow from the prior quarter peak. High leverage persists with long-term debt near $40B and negative shareholders' equity, though the four-period narrowing of the equity deficit provides a modest offset to balance-sheet pressure.

Insider Activity

Insider sentiment is neutral (-4) over the 2026-03-03 to 2026-06-01 window, with buys of $828,713 across two transactions against sells of $2,161,133 across eight transactions for a net outflow of $1,332,420. One reported transaction in the most recent month shows Joseph M. Erlinger selling 333 shares on 2026-05-26 for $93,277 at $280.11.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Context

No multi-timeframe candle or indicator data (1m through 1D) is provided in the payload; only the current price of 276.055 is available.

Bull / Bear Cases

Ultra-short-term (minutes): limited data precludes granular signals; current price sits at 276.055 with no session extremes supplied.
Short-term (hours to days): neutral-to-bearish tilt from recent net insider selling and latest-quarter revenue and margin step-downs, offset by still-positive FCF generation.
Long-term (weeks to months): constructive on the four-period equity recovery and sustained high operating margins above 45%, tempered by ongoing margin compression, negative equity position, and stable high debt load.

Key Levels & Triggers

No support, resistance, or technical trigger levels are supplied. Current price is 276.055; monitoring would require additional price-series data.

Financials

From SEC EDGAR · Period 2026-03-31 · Source form 10-Q

Income Statement · last 4 periods

 
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
2025-09-30
10-Q
2025-06-30
10-Q
Revenue$6.52B$26.89B$7.08B$6.84B
Operating Income$2.95B$12.39B$3.36B$3.23B
Net Income$1.98B$8.56B$2.28B$2.25B
EPS (Diluted)$2.78$11.95$3.18$3.14
Operating Margin45.31%46.10%47.43%47.23%
Net Margin30.43%31.85%32.18%32.92%

Balance Sheet · last 4 periods

 
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-Q
2025-09-30
10-Q
2025-06-30
10-Q
Total Assets$60.04B$59.52B$60.61B$59.55B
Shareholders' Equity-$1.29B-$1.79B-$2.16B-$2.76B
Cash & Equivalents$1.17B$774.00M$2.41B$1.88B
Long-term Debt$40.10B$39.97B$39.48B$40.80B
Current Ratio1.140.951.001.30
Debt / Equity-31.19-22.32-18.25-14.78

Cash Flow · last 4 periods

 
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
2025-09-30
10-Q
2025-06-30
10-Q
Cash from Operations$2.41B$10.55B$3.43B$2.00B
Cash from Investing-$777.00M-$3.82B-$1.11B-$869.00M
Cash from Financing-$1.23B-$7.13B-$1.79B-$555.00M
Capital Expenditures$682.00M$3.37B$1.01B$744.00M
Free Cash Flow$1.73B$7.19B$2.42B$1.25B

Income Statement

Revenue
$6.52B
Gross Profit
Operating Income
$2.95B
Net Income
$1.98B
EPS (Basic)
$2.79
EPS (Diluted)
$2.78

Balance Sheet

Total Assets
$60.04B
Total Liabilities
Shareholders' Equity
-$1.29B
Cash & Equivalents
$1.17B
Long-term Debt
$40.10B
Shares Outstanding
710.51M

Cash Flow

Cash from Operations
$2.41B
Cash from Investing
-$777.00M
Cash from Financing
-$1.23B
Capital Expenditures
$682.00M
Free Cash Flow
$1.73B

Key Ratios

Gross Margin
Operating Margin
45.31%
Net Margin
30.43%
Current Ratio
1.14
Debt / Equity
-31.19
Free Cash Flow
$1.73B

Insider Activity

1 insider filings (2026-05-02 to 2026-06-01) — sourced directly from SEC Forms 4/5

Buys
$0.00 · 0
Sells
$93.3K · 1
Net
-$93.3K
Filings Parsed
1
Trade DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-05-26Erlinger Joseph M.Sell333$280.11$93.3K

Key Stats

$214.56BMarket cap
$341.7552-week high
$283.4752-week low
3,197,602Avg volume (30d)

150,000 employees710.83M shares outstandinglisted 1966-07-05dividend yield 2.54%

Next earnings ~May 5, 2026 · Ex-dividend Mar 3, 2026 · Dividend $1.86 quarterly

About McDonald's

McDonald's is the world's largest restaurant brand, with nearly $139 billion in systemwide sales across more than 45,000 restaurants and over 100 markets. The quick-service chain built its early reputation on speed, consistency, and affordable hamburgers, and today its global menu spans burgers, chicken, breakfast, and beverages that have helped popularize American fast-food cuisine worldwide. The firm derives the bulk of its revenue from franchise royalties and rent (about 62%), with the remainder stemming from company-operated restaurants across three segments: the United States (39% of systemwide sales), international operated markets (35%), and international developmental/licensed markets (26%).

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