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ServiceNowNOW

NYSE

软件

US$137.50+3.23%

AI 多周期分析

短期50% 置信度
震荡

短时间内价格波动有限,指标显示短暂平衡,需观察微观支撑阻力变化。

中期60% 置信度
震荡

短期内价格在107.33至108.0区间震荡,指标显示多空力量平衡,市场情绪偏谨慎。

长期65% 置信度
看多

长期基本面仍然支持公司增长,财务指标稳中有升,但短期流动性风险和内线卖出行为需警惕。

AI 综合判断60% 置信度
震荡

短期内,服务管理局的股价表现可能偏多空平衡,需关注关键支撑阻力位及内线交易动态。长期展望仍具潜力,但短期流动性压力和内线卖出行为值得警惕。

AI 基本面完整分析

ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) Fundamental Briefing

Business Snapshot

ServiceNow, Inc. is a leading provider of cloud-based workflow automation solutions for enterprise IT. The company's platform enables organizations to digitize and automate their business processes, improving operational efficiency and employee productivity. ServiceNow serves a wide range of industries, including technology, financial services, healthcare, and government.

Financial Trends

Revenue: Revenue has shown a consistent upward trend over the last four periods, from $3,215,000,000 in Q2 2025 to $3,770,000,000 in Q1 2026. This represents a quarter-over-quarter increase of approximately 17.26%. When comparing the latest period to the earliest provided (Q2 2025 vs Q1 2026), revenue has grown by approximately 17.26%. The full year revenue for 2025 (as of 10-K) was $13,278,000,000.

Margins:

  • Gross Margin: Has remained strong and relatively stable, fluctuating between 75.07% (Q1 2026) and 77.53% (FY 2025). The latest quarter saw a slight decrease from the previous three periods.
  • Operating Margin: Shows more variability. It was 11.14% in Q2 2025, rose to 16.79% in Q3 2025, then decreased to 13.74% in FY 2025, and further declined to 13.34% in Q1 2026.
  • Net Margin: Follows a similar pattern to operating margin, with a high of 14.73% in Q3 2025, declining to 11.98% in Q2 2025, 13.16% in FY 2025, and 12.44% in Q1 2026.

Free Cash Flow (FCF): FCF has demonstrated significant growth. It increased from $1,998,000,000 in Q2 2025 to $4,576,000,000 in FY 2025, and then saw a substantial increase to $1,529,000,000 in Q1 2026. The trajectory shows strong positive cash generation, with the latest quarter maintaining a healthy level.

Balance Sheet Strength:

  • Total Assets: Declined from $26,038,000,000 in FY 2025 to $24,381,000,000 in Q1 2026.
  • Total Liabilities: Also decreased from $13,074,000,000 in FY 2025 to $12,653,000,000 in Q1 2026.
  • Shareholders' Equity: Showed a decrease from $12,964,000,000 in FY 2025 to $11,728,000,000 in Q1 2026.
  • Cash & Equivalents: Decreased from $3,726,000,000 in FY 2025 to $2,702,000,000 in Q1 2026.
  • Current Ratio: Has been declining, moving from 1.09 in Q2 2025 down to 0.84 in Q1 2026.
  • Working Capital: Significantly decreased from a positive $780,000,000 in Q2 2025 to a negative $-1,548,000,000 in Q1 2026.
  • Debt/Equity Ratio: Data is not available for this metric.

Financial Health

The latest financial period (Q1 2026) shows continued revenue growth and strong FCF generation, which are positive indicators. However, there's a noticeable deterioration in short-term liquidity, evidenced by the declining Current Ratio and the shift to negative Working Capital. This suggests potential pressure on the company's ability to meet its short-term obligations. While long-term solvency metrics are not fully detailed (Debt/Equity missing), the overall trend in equity and liabilities needs monitoring in conjunction with liquidity.

Insider Activity

The insider sentiment for the period 2026-02-18 to 2026-05-19 is Neutral (-10). Over the last month (2026-04-19 to 2026-05-19), there have been significant sell transactions totaling over $5.2 million, with no reported buy transactions of monetary value. Insiders have executed numerous sales, some at prices around $95.07 and $98.51, while also reporting $0 buys, which could indicate stock grants or options exercises followed by sales. The substantial net selling activity by insiders suggests a cautious or bearish short-term sentiment from those closest to the company.

Multi-Timeframe Technical Context

  • 1m: Price is currently at 107.84. RSI is moderate (51.94). MACD is slightly positive but trending down, with the signal line above. EMAs are closely aligned and trending upwards, with the price above all short-term EMAs and the SMA 200. Volume is above its 20-period SMA, indicating increased activity.
  • 5m: Price is at 107.63. RSI is higher (60.33) but not overbought. MACD is positive but showing a bearish crossover. Price is above short-term EMAs and SMA 200, but below the upper Bollinger Band. Volume is below its 20-period SMA.
  • 15m: Price is at 107.63. RSI is high (78.26), indicating potential overbought conditions. MACD is positive and above its signal line, but the momentum appears to be slowing. Price is above all EMAs and SMAs. Volume is significantly above its 20-period SMA.
  • 1H: Price is at 107.63. RSI is high (76.47), suggesting overbought conditions. MACD is positive and above its signal line, with increasing momentum. Price is well above EMAs and SMAs, and the current price is approaching the upper Bollinger Band. Volume is significantly above its 20-period SMA.
  • 1D: Price is at 103.42. RSI is at 67.52, indicating a strong upward trend but not yet overbought. MACD is negative and below its signal line, suggesting bearish momentum on a daily basis. Price is below the EMA 50 and SMA 50, and significantly below the SMA 200. The price is above the upper Bollinger Band from the previous day's close, suggesting a potential pullback. Significant volume was recorded, which is much higher than its 20-period SMA.

The longer timeframes (1H and 1D) show a divergence. The 1H chart indicates strong bullish momentum and high RSI, while the 1D chart shows bearish MACD and a price that has corrected significantly from its highs, trading below key longer-term averages. The recent price action (session high 108.0, current price 107.74) suggests a potential resistance level.

Bull / Bear Cases

Short-Term (Hours to Days):

  • Bull Case: The immediate upward momentum seen in the 1m, 5m, 15m, and 1H charts, with prices trading above short-term moving averages and positive MACD signals, could push the price higher towards the session high of 108.0. A break above this level, supported by continued strong volume, could signal further short-term upside.
  • Bear Case: The high RSI readings across multiple shorter timeframes (15m, 1H) suggest the stock may be overextended in the short term. The bearish MACD on the daily chart and the price trading below key daily moving averages indicate potential for a reversal or pullback, especially if it fails to break above 108.0. The significant insider selling also adds a bearish overhang.

Long-Term (Weeks to Months):

  • Bull Case: ServiceNow's consistent revenue growth and strong FCF generation provide a solid fundamental basis for long-term appreciation. If the company can effectively manage its short-term liquidity challenges and continue to innovate and expand its platform, its market leadership position should support sustained growth and a rising stock price.
  • Bear Case: The declining liquidity metrics (Current Ratio, Working Capital) are a concern for long-term financial health. If these trends persist or worsen, it could signal underlying operational issues or increased financial risk. Additionally, the significant insider selling, if it continues, could indicate a lack of confidence from management in the near to medium-term outlook. Competition and market saturation are also potential long-term risks.

Key Levels & Triggers

  • Immediate Resistance: 108.0 (Session High)
  • Immediate Support: 107.33 (1m Bollinger Band Middle), 106.29 (5m Bollinger Band Lower)
  • Key Short-Term Trigger (Bullish): Sustained break and hold above 108.0.
  • Key Short-Term Trigger (Bearish): Break and hold below 107.33, with confirmation from daily chart indicators.
  • Long-Term Watch Levels: Monitoring the trend of Current Ratio and Working Capital. A continued decline in these metrics would be a significant bearish signal. Conversely, a reversal and improvement would be a bullish sign.

财务数据

来自 SEC EDGAR · 报告期 2026-03-31 · 来源表格 10-Q

利润表 · 近 4 期

 
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
2025-09-30
10-Q
2025-06-30
10-Q
营业收入$3.77B$13.28B$3.41B$3.21B
毛利$2.83B$10.29B$2.63B$2.49B
营业利润$503.00M$1.82B$572.00M$358.00M
净利润$469.00M$1.75B$502.00M$385.00M
每股收益(稀释)$0.45$1.67$2.40$1.84
毛利率75.07%77.53%77.28%77.48%
营业利润率13.34%13.74%16.79%11.14%
净利率12.44%13.16%14.73%11.98%

资产负债表 · 近 4 期

 
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-Q
2025-09-30
10-Q
2025-06-30
10-Q
总资产$24.38B$26.04B$21.79B$22.05B
总负债$12.65B$13.07B$10.49B$11.12B
股东权益$11.73B$12.96B$11.30B$10.93B
现金及等价物$2.70B$3.73B$2.73B$3.12B
流动比率0.841.001.061.09

现金流量表 · 近 4 期

 
2026-03-31
10-Q
2025-12-31
10-K
2025-09-30
10-Q
2025-06-30
10-Q
经营活动现金流$1.67B$5.44B$3.21B$2.39B
投资活动现金流-$451.00M-$1.69B-$1.19B-$640.00M
筹资活动现金流-$2.24B-$2.34B-$1.60B-$944.00M
资本支出$141.00M$868.00M$630.00M$395.00M
自由现金流$1.53B$4.58B$2.58B$2.00B

利润表

营业收入
$3.77B
毛利
$2.83B
营业利润
$503.00M
净利润
$469.00M
每股收益(基本)
$0.45
每股收益(稀释)
$0.45

资产负债表

总资产
$24.38B
总负债
$12.65B
股东权益
$11.73B
现金及等价物
$2.70B
长期债务
$1.48B
流通股本
1.03B

现金流量表

经营活动现金流
$1.67B
投资活动现金流
-$451.00M
筹资活动现金流
-$2.24B
资本支出
$141.00M
自由现金流
$1.53B

关键比率

毛利率
75.07%
营业利润率
13.34%
净利率
12.44%
流动比率
0.84
资产负债率(债务/权益)
0.13
自由现金流
$1.53B

内部人交易

20 份内部人申报(2026-04-19 至 2026-05-19)— 直接来自 SEC Forms 4/5

买入
$0.00 · 21
卖出
$4.58M · 46
净额
-$4.58M
已解析申报
20
交易日期内部人动作股数价格金额
2026-05-18Fipps PaulSell1,048$98.51$103.2K
2026-05-15Nowbar HosseinBuy2,857$0.00$0.00
2026-05-15Nowbar HosseinSell1,125$95.07$107.0K
2026-05-15Nowbar HosseinBuy2,209$0.00$0.00
2026-05-15Nowbar HosseinSell870$95.07$82.7K
2026-05-15Nowbar HosseinSell2,857$0.00$0.00
2026-05-15Nowbar HosseinSell2,209$0.00$0.00
2026-05-15Zavery AmitBuy3,140$0.00$0.00

关键指标

$142.74B市值
US$211.4852 周最高
US$81.2452 周最低
23,800,49430 日均量

29,187 员工数1.04B 流通股本上市日期 2012-06-29

下次财报 ~2026年8月3日

关于 ServiceNow

ServiceNow Inc通过SaaS交付模式提供软件解决方案,用于构建和自动化各种业务流程。公司主要专注于为企业客户提供IT功能。ServiceNow最初专注于IT服务管理,随后扩展到IT功能内部,最近将其工作流自动化逻辑应用于IT以外的功能领域,特别是客户服务、人力资源服务交付和安全运营。ServiceNow还提供平台即服务(PaaS)的应用程序开发平台。

最近的 SimianX AI 分析

  • intelligence—置信度 80%

    由于宏观市场通胀担忧和科技板块压力,ServiceNow股价短期内可能承压,缺乏明确的公司层面催化剂。

  • decision—置信度 70%

    MARKET STATE: NOW 当前价 $107.8144,处于 pre_market 低流动性时段,价格高于限价 $106.85 约 +0.90%,技术面 1H 偏多但 RSI 双双超买,宏观情绪 bear(收益率上行+科技股承压)。 MY READ: 多头趋势结构未破,但短期超买叠加宏观利空,开盘后出现回踩 $106.85 一带的概率合理存在;限价仍在 inside_bar 下沿($106.92)附近,是技术性回调的自然吸单位。订单刚下 1 分钟,剩余 3 小时有效期足够覆盖开盘后波动,无需此刻调整。 AI DECISION (for next hours to half a day): Action: WAIT Confidence: 0.7 Rationale: 订单刚挂出 1 分钟,guardrail 提示优先 WAIT;限价 $106.85 处于近期 inside_bar 低点和 EMA12 之间的合理回踩区,超买回调有望触发成交。宏观 bear + RSI 超买实际上提高了被动成交概率,而非降低,不建议追高(排除 CANCEL_AND_OPEN)。如果开盘后价格强势突破 $108.00 并放量上行而未回踩,再考虑 CANCEL 或上移限价。

  • decision看多置信度 68%

    MARKET STATE: 盘前阶段,NOW 报价 $107.65,技术面 1H 强 bull(强度 0.97),但宏观情绪偏 bear,收益率上行压制成长股。 MY READ: 技术指标在 1H 给出极强的多头读数,而宏观负面是 global 噪音、并无 NOW 个股利空催化剂。盘前流动性薄,价格容易在开盘附近回踩 VWAP/前日支撑,再随技术动能延续上行。我倾向用 LIMIT 在浅幅回调处接货,而非追盘前价格。 MY ANALYSIS: - 三方信号:基本面 neutral、技术 strong bull、情报 moderate bear(global only)。技术信号针对个股最直接,宏观仅是顺风/逆风修正项 → 净读偏多但需折扣仓位。 - 1H 强 bull 通常意味着趋势已起步,3–7 小时窗口内有继续上行空间,但盘前价格已偏高,开盘常见一次性洗盘。 - 选择 LIMIT 在 $106.85(-0.74%)挂单,落在 0.3%–1.5% 合规带内且为合理的开盘回踩位。 - 止损放在 $104.50 下方支撑外,止盈瞄准前高延伸 $110.80,R:R ≈ 1.7:1。 - 仓位中等偏低(宏观逆风折扣):$5000 名义。 AI DECISION (for next 3-7 hours): Action: LONG Order Type: LIMIT Limit Order Price: $106.85 Expires In Minutes: 180 Confidence: 0.68 Notional USD: $5000 Stop Loss: 2.2% (≈ $104.50) Take Profit: 3.7% (≈ $110.80) Rationale: 1H 技术面强 bull 是最具体且最直接的信号,宏观 bear 是全局噪音、无 NOW 个股催化剂,故顺势做多但折损仓位。LIMIT 设在 -0.74% 的浅回踩位,覆盖盘前到开盘 30 分钟内常见的洗盘区,180 分钟有效期可跨越开盘窗口。R:R ≈ 1.7:1,符合纪律。

  • indicator看多

    短期内价格持续强势,指标显示超买但趋势尚未反转,后续需关注量能变化以确认突破。

  • intelligence—置信度 80%

    基于宏观市场利率上升和股市压力,ServiceNow股价短期内可能继续承压,风险偏向看空。

  • intelligence震荡置信度 60%

    过去24小时内,ServiceNow (NOW) 的新闻流主要为全球宏观和行业新闻,缺乏明确的股票特定催化剂,因此预计对股价的净影响为中性。

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